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Morning Market Insights: Xylene

Published on 2026-10-14

I. Key Focus Points

  1. Crude Oil: On October 13, intensifying conflicts between the Houthis and Saudi Arabia heightened supply risks, while the market assessed expectations of increased Russian supply, resulting in mixed movements for international crude oil prices. The NYMEX WTI November contract closed at $94.14/bbl, up $0.40/bbl (+0.43%); the ICE Brent December contract closed at $105.69/bbl, down $0.96/bbl (-0.90%). The INE Shanghai Crude Oil December 2026 (SC2612) contract rose by 22.5 yuan to 732 yuan/bbl, with night session gains pushing it to 740.6 yuan/bbl.
  2. Xylene: Sinopec East China posted a listed price of 9,150 yuan/ton for xylene.
  3. Gasoline: Yesterday, the production-to-sales ratio for Shandong independent refineries’ gasoline was 82%, an increase of 3 percentage points from the previous period.

Core Logic: Crude oil futures saw slight pullbacks. Yesterday, Shandong independent refineries did not balance production and sales; factory auctions saw small premiums, improving on-floor purchasing sentiment. The Asian USD-denominated market rose yesterday, while xylene prices showed mixed trends.

II. Price Table

Region Oct 10 Oct 12 Change
FOB Korea 1216 1217 +1
Shandong Market 8900 8900 0
East China Market 9010 9100 +90
Remarks:
1. FOB Korea is in USD/ton; East China and Shandong markets are in CNY/ton.
2. Xylene prices reflect mainstream market closing averages.
3. All RMB prices above are spot cash-in-advance, tax-inclusive, ex-works prices.

III. Market Outlook

Crude oil futures ended with mixed results, offering limited support to market sentiment. Yesterday, both the gasoline market and Shandong xylene market failed to balance production and sales. Downstream customers replenished stocks based on demand. The spread between MX (mixed xylenes) and PX (paraxylene) remained stable, and spot resources were relatively tight. We expect domestic xylene prices to remain largely stable today with minor fluctuations.

Data Item Release Time Previous Period Trend Forecast
Xylene Port Inventory Tuesday 18:00 PM 0.7 ↓
Weekly Average Xylene Profit Thursday 18:00 PM 1505.68 ↗
Unplanned Xylene Sales Volume Beginning of Month 18:00 PM 488.09 ↗
Weekly Toluene Inventory Tuesday 18:00 PM 2.5 ↗
Note:
1. ↓↑ indicates significant volatility, highlighting data dimensions with changes exceeding 3%.
2. ↗↘ indicates narrow-range fluctuations, highlighting data with changes within 0–3%.

Comments

0
  • Elena Vasquez 2026-10-14 10:04
    With crude volatility affecting feedstock costs, I see xylene margins getting squeezed. East China’s price bump feels like a short-term sentiment play rather than strong downstream demand. Capacity utilization remains t..
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