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Gasoline: Crude oil decline drags down domestic xylene market as quotes fall across regions

Published on 2026-11-03
  1. Today's Summary
  1. Crude Oil: On November 2, bullish factors continued to drive US-Iran peace talks, easing market concerns over supply risks and causing international crude oil prices to fall. NYMEX December crude futures settled at $96.46/bbl, down $7.66/bbl (-7.36% WoW); ICE Brent January futures (after rollover) settled at $104.77/bbl, down $8.66/bbl (-7.63% WoW). China INE December 2026 crude futures rose by 17.6 yuan to 745.2 yuan/bbl during the day session but fell by 64.2 yuan to 681 yuan/bbl in the night session.

  2. Xylene: Quoted prices for xylene from Shandong local refineries declined compared to the previous working day, with drops ranging from 100 to 270 yuan/ton.

  3. Xylene: Downstream customers entered the market to procure materials.

  4. Xylene: North China Petrochemical sold inventory via auction.

Market Specification Nov 2 Nov 3 Change % Change
Average Price Isomer-grade 9176.00 8927.33 -248.67 -2.71%
Shandong Isomer-grade 8925.00 8627.00 -298.00 -3.34%
East China Isomer-grade 9275.00 9000.00 -275.00 -2.96%
South China Isomer-grade 9330.00 9155.00 -175.00 -1.88%
Key Downstream
Shandong 92# Gasoline 10121.00 10041.00 -80.00 -0.79%
Taiwan, China PX 1323.00 1280.00 -43.00 -3.25%
Related Products
Toluene East China 8975.00 8900.00 -75.00 -0.84%
Pure Benzene East China 9750.00 9300.00 -450.00 -4.62%
Data Source: Chempricehub

Today, the domestic xylene market operated weakly. The sharp drop in overnight crude oil closing prices failed to support market sentiment. After a significant decline, downstream PX futures rebounded slightly. Prices in East China softened, with negotiations mostly resulting in price cuts today. Trading volume at Shandong refineries remained sluggish for two consecutive days; today, factory prices continued to retreat, production-sales balance improved slightly, though no strict balancing was implemented. In South China, some refineries lowered their quotes today. Market purchasing sentiment was weak, trading pace was average, and downstream demand was primarily driven by essential restocking.

  1. Production Dynamics

Quoted prices for xylene from Shandong local refineries declined compared to the previous working day, with drops ranging from 100 to 270 yuan/ton. Refineries did not implement production-sales balancing.

  1. Price Forecast

Crude oil futures traded stronger intraday, providing limited support to market sentiment. Today, transactions at Shandong refineries around 8,600 yuan/ton were decent, offering bottom support. Spot resources in East China remained tight, keeping regional arbitrage windows open. If crude oil closing prices continue to fall tomorrow, the xylene market is expected to maintain its weak trend. Projected ranges: East China 8,950–9,000 yuan/ton, Shandong 8,600–8,620 yuan/ton, and South China 9,100–9,200 yuan/ton.

  1. Related Products
  1. PX: One lot of PX was traded near the close today. January contracts traded at $1,260/ton. Today’s December price was $1,320/ton, while January was $1,260/ton. PX closed at $1,280/ton, down $43/ton (CFR China).

  2. Gasoline: Today’s gasoline production-sales ratio was 71%, up 7 percentage points from yesterday.

Comments

0
  • Daniel Foster 2026-11-03 20:04
    With crude falling, xylene quotes dropped sharply in Shandong. Weak downstream demand and low capacity utilization squeeze producer margins. I expect volatility until feedstock costs stabilize; watch PX rebound carefully..
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