① Today, domestic n-butanol prices in Shandong and East China decreased by 200 yuan/ton, Henan decreased by 350 yuan/ton, and South China decreased by 225 yuan/ton.
② Current operating loads: Domestic n-butanol at 84%, butyl acrylate at 63%, butyl acetate at 49%, and DBP (Dibutyl Phthalate) at 40%.
Table 1: Domestic N-Butanol Industry Chain Price Summary (Unit: Yuan/Ton)
| Product | Market | Previous Period | Current Period | Change Value | Change Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N-Butanol | Shandong | 8200 | 8000 | -200 | -2.44% |
| East China | 8300 | 8100 | -200 | -2.41% | |
| Henan | 8200 | 7850 | -350 | -4.27% | |
| South China | 8275 | 8050 | -225 | -2.72% | |
| Key Upstream | |||||
| Propylene | Shandong | 11550 | 11100 | -450 | -3.90% |
| Key Downstream | |||||
| Butyl Acrylate | East China | 9800 | 9750 | -50 | -0.64% |
| Butyl Acetate | East China | 8050 | 7825 | -225 | -2.80% |
| DBP | Henan | 10700 | 10500 | -200 | -1.87% |
| Data Source: Chempricehub Info |
Using the Shandong region as a benchmark, today's n-butanol closed at 8000–8000 yuan/ton, consistent with morning expectations. Today, the price center of gravity for domestic n-butanol continued to decline. Raw material propylene prices dropped significantly, leading to lower costs and weakening price support. Meanwhile, downstream buying interest remained low, traders were cautious, market sentiment was heavily weighted toward wait-and-see, and trading volume was sluggish. Factories proactively lowered prices to stimulate shipments, but the effect was limited.
Today, the domestic capacity utilization rate for n-butanol stood at 84%. With raw material propylene prices declining, current n-butanol profitability is approximately -475 yuan/ton.
Currently, raw material propylene prices have fallen consecutively, reducing cost-side support. The supply of n-butanol in the market is sufficient, factory shipments are poor, inventory levels are rising, downstream buying interest is low, traders remain cautious, market sentiment is strongly characterized by a wait-and-see attitude, and transaction activity is thin. Therefore, market prices are expected to fluctuate within a weak range.
Octanol Market: Today, the price center of gravity for the domestic octanol market continued its downward trend. Both international crude oil and raw material propylene prices declined, leaving market sentiment without support. Buyers approached spot octanol purchases cautiously, resulting in a quiet negotiation atmosphere. Some actual transaction negotiations occurred at lower prices, impacting the execution of currently listed prices.
Table 2: Domestic N-Butanol Data Overview (Unit: 10,000 tons, Yuan/Ton)
| Data Item | Release Date | Previous Data | Expected Trend This Period |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weekly Capacity Utilization Rate | Thursday 17:00 | 83% | ↗ |
| Weekly Output | Thursday 17:00 | 6.14 | ↗ |
| Average Weekly Profit | Thursday 17:00 | -162 | ↘ |
| Data Source: Chempricehub Info Notes: 1. ↓↑ indicates significant volatility, highlighting data dimensions with changes exceeding 3%. 2. ↗ ↘ indicate narrow-range fluctuations, highlighting data with changes within 0-3%. |
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