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Strong resistance from downstream buyers to high prices; butadiene prices consolidate within a range.

Published on 2026-09-22

1. Daily Summary

① On September 22, Sinopec East China's ex-factory price for butadiene remained stable at CNY 13,500/ton. Downstream synthetic rubber market prices increased.

② On September 22, the domestic butadiene industry capacity utilization rate was 65.47%, remaining stable compared to the previous working day.

2. Spot Market Overview

Table: Domestic Butadiene Price Summary (Unit: CNY/ton)

Price Type Producer/Region Sep 22 Price Sep 21 Price Change Value Change %
Ex-factory Quote Sinopec East China 13,500 13,500 0 0.00%
Sinopec South China 13,450 13,450 0 0.00%
Sinopec North China 13,600 13,600 0 0.00%
Sinopec Central China 13,500 13,500 0 0.00%
Lianyungang Petrochemical 13,400 13,400 0 0.00%
Shenghong Refining & Chemical 13,400 13,600 -200 -1.47%
Dalian Hengli 13,310 13,510 -200 -1.48%
Yantai Wanhua 13,300 13,440 -140 -1.04%
Liaoyang Petrochemical 12,980 13,000 -20 -0.15%
Shenhua Ningmei 13,050 13,050 0 0.00%
Inner Mongolia Jiutai 12,800 12,800 0 0.00%
Dongming Petrochemical 13,100 13,400 -300 -2.24%
Yulong Petrochemical 13,500 13,500 0 0.00%
Market Price Shandong Luzhong Delivered 13,675 13,675 0 0.00%
Jiangyin Tank Departure Self-pickup 13,300 13,150 150 1.14%
West Bank of Yellow Sea Self-pickup 13,435 13,480 -45 -0.33%
Key Downstream Products
Polybutadiene Rubber Shandong Daqing BR9000 15,200 15,050 150 1.00%
Styrene-Butadiene Rubber Shandong Qilu 1502 15,400 15,300 100 0.65%

Based on the delivered price in the Shandong Luzhong region, today's closing price was CNY 13,675/ton, remaining stable compared to the previous period. Today, domestic butadiene market prices consolidated within a range. High crude oil prices provided strong cost-side support, while the upward trend in major downstream synthetic rubber markets boosted market sentiment. Sellers maintained firm offer intentions with reduced willingness to sell at lower prices; however, downstream demand showed no significant improvement, and buyer follow-up was moderate. The market exhibited cautious sentiment, with prices consolidating at high levels.

On September 22, the domestic butadiene industry capacity utilization rate was 65.47%, remaining stable compared to the previous working day. Regarding theoretical production profits, on September 21, the Japanese naphtha market declined, and Sinopec's butadiene price was adjusted down by CNY 200/ton to CNY 13,500/ton. Consequently, the theoretical production profit for butadiene via C4 extraction decreased, with the calculated profit for the C4 extraction process standing at CNY 4,271.52/ton.

4. Price Forecast

The short-term situation in the Middle East remains unclear, and raw material prices continue to provide some cost-side support for butadiene. Traders are mostly maintaining firm pricing to facilitate shipments, making it difficult for low-priced inventory to enter the market. However, the recovery of downstream enterprise demand still requires time. With strong resistance to high prices, significant buyer follow-up is unlikely. Domestic butadiene prices are expected to fluctuate within a range.

5. Related Product Markets

Synthetic Rubber Market: Today, prices for polybutadiene rubber and styrene-butadiene rubber increased. In the Shandong market, Daqing BR9000 prices rose by CNY 150/ton to CNY 15,200/ton, and Qilu SBR 1502 prices rose by CNY 100/ton to CNY 15,400/ton.

6. Data Calendar

Table: Domestic Butadiene Data Overview (Unit: 10,000 tons, CNY/ton)

Data Indicator Release Date Previous Period Data Current Period Trend Forecast
Butadiene Port Inventory Wednesday 17:00 PM 2.37
Butadiene Production Profit Friday 17:00 PM 5,004.23
Butadiene Inventory Analysis Friday 17:00 PM 3.93
Butadiene Weekly Capacity Utilization Rate Friday 17:00 PM 66.11%
Butadiene Weekly Output Friday 17:00 PM 10.70

Notes:

  1. ↓↑ indicates significant volatility, highlighting data dimensions with fluctuations exceeding 3%.
  2. ↗↘ indicates narrow-range volatility, highlighting data with fluctuations within 0–3%.

Comments

0
  • Daniel Foster 2026-09-22 20:11
    Seeing butadiene hold at 13,500 CNY despite downstream pushback. With capacity utilization stuck near 65%, supply tightness supports margins, yet weak demand limits upside. I expect range-bound trading as buyers resist h..
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