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Prompt

Published on 2026-11-03

I. Key Focus Points

  1. Monitor guidance on methanol feedstock prices.
  2. Monitor operating rates of downstream panel manufacturers.
  3. Monitor inventory levels at production enterprises.

Core Logic: Methanol feedstock prices have retreated, leading to lower costs. Formaldehyde supply remains ample, while mainstream downstream panel sector operating rates are mediocre, resulting in general demand support. Other downstream sectors mostly consume formaldehyde internally, making the demand side a critical factor.

II. Price Table

Product Region Previous Period Current Period Change Rate
Formaldehyde Shandong Region 1750 1720 -1.71%
Methanol Shandong Region 3630 3630 0.83%
Notes: 1. Formaldehyde concentration is 37%; Methanol meets national standard premium grade specifications; 2. Prices are spot RMB prices, not weekly averages, unit: CNY/ton; 3. Formaldehyde price is ex-works cash with tax included; Methanol price is warehouse delivery cash with tax included; 4. Change rate refers to period-over-period change.

III. Data Table

Formaldehyde Industry Supply and Demand Data

Data Type Previous Period Current Period Change Rate Trend
Formaldehyde Cost 1714 1727 0.76 % ↑
Formaldehyde Profit 36 -7 -119.44% ↓
Notes: 1. Formaldehyde concentration is 37%; Methanol meets national standard premium grade specifications; 2. Prices are spot RMB prices, not weekly averages, unit: CNY/ton; 3. Formaldehyde price is ex-works cash with tax included; Methanol price is warehouse delivery cash with tax included; 4. Change rate refers to period-over-period change.

IV. Market Outlook

In the morning, the center of gravity for the formaldehyde market rose. Plant loads remained stable at previous levels, ensuring ample supply within the market. Driven by stronger costs, formaldehyde prices followed suit in the morning session. Buyer inquiries were active, but factory shipments were average; intraday trading conditions will be monitored subsequently. Chempricehub forecasts that the formaldehyde market will experience volatile fluctuations with a bullish bias in the short term.

Data Item Release Date Previous Data Current Period Trend Forecast
Formaldehyde Import Data End of each month at 17:30 BM 0.08 ↓
Formaldehyde Export Data End of each month at 17:30 BM 204.29 ↑
Notes: 1. ↓↑ indicates significant volatility, highlighting data dimensions with changes exceeding 3%; 2. ↗↘ indicates narrow-range volatility, highlighting data dimensions with changes within 0-3%.

Comments

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  • Hannah Berg 2026-11-03 10:00
    Formaldehyde prices dropped 1.71% amid ample supply and weak panel demand, squeezing margins despite stable methanol costs. With negative profitability, I expect short-term volatility but a bullish bias if feedstock pres..
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