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Firm Trading Driven by Essential Demand; Monomers Remain Stable at High Levels (Sep 20, 2026)

Published on 2026-09-20
  1. Today's Summary

① Raw Materials: East China ethylene oxide (EO) prices stood at 9,700 yuan/ton; domestic ethylene prices remained stable at 9,450 yuan/ton.
② Demand: Downstream buyers showed some resistance to high-priced goods, with restocking limited to essential spot orders.

  1. Spot Market Overview

Table 1: Price Summary of Domestic Polycarboxylate Superplasticizer Monomers (Unit: Yuan/Ton)

Market Specification 2026-09-18 2026-09-20 Change Value Change Rate
East China EPEG 12,000-12,200 12,000-12,200 0/0 0%/0%
HPEG 12,100-12,300 12,100-12,300 0/0 0%/0%
TPEG 12,100-12,300 12,100-12,300 0/0 0%/0%
South China EPEG 12,100-12,300 12,100-12,300 0/0 0%/0%
HPEG 12,200-12,400 12,200-12,400 0/0 0%/0%
TPEG 12,200-12,400 12,200-12,400 0/0 0%/0%
Northeast China HPEG 12,000-12,200 12,000-12,200 0/0 0%/0%
EPEG 12,000-12,200 12,000-12,200 0/0 0%/0%
TPEG 12,100-12,300 12,100-12,300 0/0 0%/0%

Today, the market price for domestic polycarboxylate superplasticizer monomers remained stable. On the raw material side, spot supply of ethylene oxide (EO) remains tight, keeping prices firmly high. Ethylene producers faced no shipment pressure today, and the market lacked new directional news, leading to stable offers. The fundamental support for the EO market keeps prices firm at high levels, providing a cost floor. Due to insufficient spot supply of monomers, holders have little willingness to offer discounts, while downstream buyers remain cautious about replenishing stock at high prices. In summary, the price of EPEG in the key East China market is expected to range between 12,000-12,200 yuan/ton on the next trading day.

  1. Production Dynamics

Today, the capacity utilization rate for the polycarboxylate superplasticizer monomer industry was 24.21%, a week-on-week decline. The gross profit margin for HPEG monomers was 1,371 yuan/ton.

  1. Price Forecast

On the next trading day, domestic polycarboxylate superplasticizer monomer prices are likely to remain high. Key raw material ethylene oxide (EO) is expected to trade steadily. The supply structure for monoethylene glycol (MEG) will continue, potentially supporting stronger MEG prices. Tight spot availability of EO provides a price floor. Downstream industries maintain essential procurement. Recent ethylene transactions have been sluggish, reducing producers' motivation to push prices higher, so short-term stability is expected, offering cost-side support. Downstream demand for monomers at high prices remains cautious, with a strong wait-and-see sentiment. Spot inventory is limited, and holders are reluctant to discount, leading to quantity-based negotiations. In conclusion, EPEG prices in the main East China market are projected to be around 12,000-12,200 yuan/ton.

  1. Related Product Status

① Ethylene Oxide (Raw Material): EO prices are expected to remain high in the short term. On the supply side, spot availability of MEG remains tight, likely supporting stronger prices in the near term. Co-production units are expected to continue producing MEG, limiting the increase in EO spot supply, thus maintaining supply-side support. On the demand side, operating rates across downstream industries may adjust slightly, ensuring steady consumption. Regarding costs, most ethylene derivatives have entered a downward cycle; market buying interest is likely to remain driven by essential needs, leading to firm but consolidated pricing with cost support. Overall, supply and cost factors will continue to support the market in the short term, keeping EO prices firm at high levels. Future developments in upstream and downstream sectors warrant attention.

  1. Data Calendar

Table 2: Data List for Domestic Polycarboxylate Superplasticizer Monomers (Unit: Ten Thousand Tons)

Data Metric Release Time Previous Period Data Expected Trend for Current Period
Sellable Inventory Rate Thursday 17:00 PM -33.86%
Weekly Output Thursday 17:00 PM 3.01
Capacity Utilization Rate Thursday 17:00 PM 27.01%

Comments

0
  • Priya Kapoor 2026-09-20 20:15
    With ethylene oxide supply tight, monomer prices stay high despite lower capacity utilization. Downstream demand is purely essential, squeezing margins for converters. I expect this stalemate to persist until raw materia..
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