Why does China's naphtha supply still fall short despite record refinery output?
China produced 81.34 million tonnes of naphtha in 2025, down 0.5% year on year, with the eastern region alone accounting for 75.4%. Tianjin illustrates the structural shift: although it ranks only 12th nationally in crude throughput at 18.26 million tonnes, it climbed into the top five for naphtha output at 4.21 million tonnes, up 25.4%, because its refineries are chemical-oriented and feed large ethylene complexes. Zhejiang followed a similar path, with Zhejiang Petrochemical self-producing and supplying 2.63 million tonnes of light naphtha. The lesson is clear: naphtha availability now tracks chemical intensity, not crude runs, and the market remains structurally short.
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