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Why does China's naphtha supply still fall short despite record refinery output?

Wei Zhang
Published on 2026-09-28

Why does China's naphtha supply still fall short despite record refinery output?
China produced 81.34 million tonnes of naphtha in 2025, down 0.5% year on year, with the eastern region alone accounting for 75.4%. Tianjin illustrates the structural shift: although it ranks only 12th nationally in crude throughput at 18.26 million tonnes, it climbed into the top five for naphtha output at 4.21 million tonnes, up 25.4%, because its refineries are chemical-oriented and feed large ethylene complexes. Zhejiang followed a similar path, with Zhejiang Petrochemical self-producing and supplying 2.63 million tonnes of light naphtha. The lesson is clear: naphtha availability now tracks chemical intensity, not crude runs, and the market remains structurally short.

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  • Yuki Tanaka 2026-09-29 21:51
    The regional concentration matters for buyers. When 75% of output sits in the east, logistics and freight costs into inland ethylene and reforming units become a real premium. Watch Tianjin and Zhejiang volumes monthly rather than national totals, since those two tell you where merchant supply is actually loosening.
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