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Weekly Outlook for the Acrylonitrile Market

Published on 2026-10-08

I. Key Points

  1. Crude oil prices weakened during the National Day holiday, while propylene prices remained firm.
  2. Acrylonitrile (AN) plant operating rates showed no significant fluctuations, with overall utilization hovering around 74%.

Core Logic: Loose supply and flat demand.

II. Price Table

Product Region Sep 29 Sep 30 Change (%)
Acrylonitrile East China Port 11,100 11,100 0.00%
Shandong Market 10,850 10,800 -0.46%
CFR South Asia 1,535 1,535 0.00%
Acrylic Fiber Staple Fiber 1.5D*38 15,975 15,975 0.00%
Top Wool 3D Standard 16,800 16,800 0.00%
Propylene Shandong Region 9,740 9,740 0.00%

Notes:

  1. Acrylonitrile and propylene prices refer to national standard premium grade products.
  2. The unit for CFR South Asia acrylonitrile is USD/ton; all other prices are in CNY/ton.
  3. The change rate represents the period-over-period percentage change.
  4. Except for the Shandong market price of acrylonitrile, which is a delivered cash-inclusive tax price, all other RMB prices listed above are ex-warehouse cash-inclusive tax prices.

III. Data Sheet

Acrylonitrile Industry Data Sheet
Metric Sep 24 Oct 1 Change Rate Weekly Outlook
AN Weekly Operating Rate (%) 72.96 72.84 -0.12% ↗
AN Weekly Output (10k tons) 8.51 8.50 -0.12% ↗
AN Enterprise Inventory (10k tons) 4.63 4.05 -12.53% ↗
AN Profit (CNY/ton) -974 -1133 -16.32% ↘

Notes:

  1. Capacity utilization refers to the ratio of production output to capacity for manufacturing enterprises, reflecting production indicators.
  2. Factory inventory refers to the book inventory levels of sample factories.

IV. Market Outlook

Comments

0
  • Daniel Foster 2026-10-09 09:20
    With AN capacity utilization stuck at 74% amid loose supply and flat downstream demand, margins remain squeezed. The firm propylene feedstock cost limits price upside despite weak crude. I expect continued stability with..
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