① International crude oil prices rose, and the price of propylene oxide (PO) stabilized, providing slight support to market sentiment for propylene glycol (PG).
② On the supply side, low operating rates continued, maintaining support for prices.
③ Trading activity in the PG market improved slightly today; however, customers still perceived prices as high, resulting in limited overall acceptance. Transactions remained primarily driven by cautious end-user demand.
Table 1: Domestic Propylene Glycol Industry Chain Price Summary (Unit: CNY/ton)
| Market | Specification | Nov 12 | Nov 13 | Change | % Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shandong | Industrial Grade | 9300 | 9300 | 0 | 0.00% |
| Jiangsu | Industrial Grade | 9075 | 9075 | 0 | 0.00% |
| Guangdong | Industrial Grade | 9150 | 9125 | -25 | -0.27% |
| Downstream & Related Products | |||||
| Unsaturated Resin | East China 191# | 10500 | 10500 | 0 | 0.00% |
| Unsaturated Resin | East China 196# | 10800 | 10800 | 0 | 0.00% |
| Elastomer Polyether | Shandong 210 | 11650 | 11500 | -150 | -1.29% |
| Dimethyl Carbonate (DMC) | Shandong | 4450 | 4400 | -50 | -1.12% |
| Key Upstream | |||||
| Propylene Oxide (PO) | Shandong | 10750 | 10750 | 0 | 0.00% |
| Propylene | Shandong | 10425 | 10300 | -150 | -1.20% |
| Methanol | Central Shandong | 3530 | 3530 | 0 | 0.00% |
| Data Source: Chempricehub |
Based on the Shandong region, domestic PG prices closed at 9,000–9,700 CNY/ton today, remaining stable compared to the previous period.
By market: The price range in Shandong remained stable with a slight improvement in transaction volume. In East China, price ranges adjusted, with downstream buyers procuring based on essential needs at lower levels. In South China, negotiations were dominant, with transactions occurring at the lower end of the price spectrum.
The capacity utilization rate for propylene glycol was 53.24%, indicating a decline in output, while profitability levels were revised upward.
Table 2: Sentiment Forecast from Domestic Propylene Glycol Supply Chain Participants
| Viewpoint | Count | Percentage |
|---|---|---|
| Bullish | 3 | 10% |
| Bearish | 18 | 60% |
| Neutral | 9 | 30% |
| Data Source: Chempricehub |
Looking ahead, trading activity in the PG market showed signs of recovery today, with downstream buyers focusing on opportunistic procurement for essential needs. However, cautious wait-and-see sentiment persists among customers, as relatively high prices have somewhat suppressed purchasing enthusiasm. Given that low-price inventory is gradually disappearing, combined with continued low operating rates and a rebound in upstream propylene oxide prices after hitting a bottom, domestic propylene glycol prices are expected to remain stable amid a wait-and-see trend.
Unsaturated Resin Market: Prices in East China remained stable today. Traders actively sold goods following market trends, while downstream buyers purchased according to actual demand, with small-lot transactions being predominant.
Polyether Market: The spot market continued its downward trend. Trading sentiment within the market was weak, with holders continuing to offer discounts to negotiate sales. Downstream buyers entered the market primarily for essential needs. Key focus remains on downstream buyer sentiment and raw material news.
Table 3: Domestic Propylene Glycol Data Overview (Unit: Tons)
| Indicator | Release Date | Previous Period Data | Current Trend Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weekly Capacity Utilization Rate | Thursday 17:00 PM | 53.24% | ↘ |
| Weekly Output | Thursday 17:00 PM | 18,300 tons | ↘ |
| Data Source: Chempricehub Notes: 1. ↓↑ indicates significant volatility, highlighting data dimensions with changes exceeding 3%. 2. ↗↘ indicates narrow-range volatility, highlighting data dimensions with changes within 0–3%. |
Comments
0