I. Key Points
Core Logic: Crude oil consolidates at high levels; styrene futures fluctuate downward; basis remains firm.
II. Price Table
| Product | Region | Oct 26 | Oct 27 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crude Oil | Brent Dec | 115.81 | 113.88 | -1.93 |
| Ethylene | CFR NE Asia | 1190 | 1190 | 0 |
| Pure Benzene | East China Market | 10820 | 10465 | -355 |
| Styrene | Jiangsu Market | 11960 | 11615 | -345 |
| Remarks: | ||||
| 1. Brent Crude: USD/barrel; Ethylene CFR NE Asia: USD/ton; Pure Benzene & Styrene: CNY/ton. | ||||
| 2. Prices for Pure Benzene and Styrene are the closing average prices of mainstream markets. | ||||
| 3. All RMB prices in the table above are spot exchange rates including tax. | ||||
| 4. The change rate is the week-on-week percentage change. |
III. Market Outlook
Styrene: On the cost side, crude oil maintaining high levels provides support, but pure benzene and styrene futures are trending downward amid fluctuations. On the supply side, inventory drawdowns continue at East China ports, coupled with some short-covering buying entering the market, keeping the spot basis firm. Some units at Zhejiang Petrochemical are undergoing maintenance, making it difficult for short-term supply to see significant increases. However, if Lianyungang Petrochemical's units restart as scheduled, there is an expectation of subsequent supply recovery. Demand remains weak, with downstream participants cautious about entering the market and mostly purchasing on an as-needed basis. Overall, lacking new positive catalysts, styrene is likely to remain in a stalemate or consolidate in the short term.
IV. Data Table
| Data Type | Previous Period | Current Period | Change Rate | Expectation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jiangsu Port Inventory (10k tons) | 3.31 | 2.47 | 25.38% | ↘ |
| South China Port Inventory (10k tons) | 4.3 | 3.3 | -23.26% | ↘ |
| Operating Rate | 64.44% | 63.46% | -0.98% | ↘ |
| Sample Enterprise Inventory | 15.02 | 13.3 | -11.45% | ↘ |
| Remarks: | ||||
| 1. Data in the table are weekly styrene data; ↘ indicates decrease, ↗ indicates increase. | ||||
| 2. Styrene Jiangsu port inventory is released before 15:00 on Monday of the current week. | ||||
| 3. Styrene East China port inventory is released before 17:00 on Monday of the current week. | ||||
| 4. Styrene operating rate is released before 18:00 on Thursday of the current week. | ||||
| 5. Styrene sample enterprise inventory is released before 17:00 on Thursday of the current week. |
Comments
0