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Home > News > [Propylene]: Morning Market Update

[Propylene]: Morning Market Update

Published on 2026-09-23

I. Key Focus Points

  1. Decline in International Crude Oil Prices: On Tuesday, September 22, the NYMEX WTI crude oil futures contract for October delivery fell by USD 1.19/bbl to USD 94.59/bbl, a week-on-week change of -1.24%. The ICE Brent crude oil futures contract for November delivery dropped by USD 1.09/bbl to USD 99.25/bbl, a change of -1.09%. In China, the INE crude oil futures contract (November 2026 expiry) decreased by CNY 13.7 to CNY 717.1/bbl during the day session and further fell by CNY 22.3 to CNY 694.8/bbl in the night session.
  2. Propylene Production Costs: As of September 21, the cost of propylene production via naphtha cracking was approximately CNY 8,930/ton; via PDH (Propane Dehydrogenation) it was approximately CNY 8,490/ton; and via methanol-to-olefins (MTO) using externally sourced methanol, it was approximately CNY 11,872/ton.
  3. Price Spread Widening: As of September 22, the spot price of propylene in Shandong was CNY 9,375/ton, while polypropylene (PP) powder (Linyi 045 grade) was priced at CNY 9,800/ton. The spread between PP and propylene has widened.
  4. Plant Shutdown: Huifeng Petrochemical’s 45,000 tons/year catalytic cracking unit shut down on September 23. The restart time is currently undetermined.

Core Logic: Declining international crude oil prices, narrow fluctuations in production costs, and a widening price spread between PP and propylene.

II. Price List

Product Region Sep 22 Sep 21 Change Rate
Propylene Shandong 9,300–9,450 9,550–9,600 -2.09%
Propylene East China 9,500–9,550 9,700–9,750 -2.06%
Propylene Northeast China 8,950–9,060 9,170–9,280 -2.38%
Propylene Northwest China 8,990–8,990 9,165–9,165 -1.91%
Notes: 1. This table reflects mainstream prices in major trading markets for propylene. All prices are tax-inclusive, denominated in CNY/ton. 2. The two periods represent point-in-time prices from the preceding two working weeks prior to this week, not weekly averages. 3. The change rate refers to the week-on-week variation.

III. Market Outlook

International crude oil prices continue their downward trend, weakening cost support. Meanwhile, corporate shipment performance is diverging, and market sentiment remains cautious, exerting some pressure on price movements. Propylene market prices are expected to trade weakly today.

IV. Data Calendar

Indicator Release Date Previous Data Current Trend Forecast
Weekly Output Thu 16:00 PM 1.1793 million tons ↘
Capacity Utilization (PDH) Thu 16:00 PM 79.21% ↘
Downstream Operating Rate (PP Powder) Thu 16:00 PM 24.22% ↘
Downstream Operating Rate (PO) Thu 16:00 PM 67.3% ↗
Notes: 1. ↓↑ indicates significant fluctuation, highlighting changes exceeding 3%. 2. ↘↗ indicates narrow fluctuation, highlighting changes within 0–3%.

Comments

0
  • Yuki Tanaka 2026-09-23 20:06
    With crude oil prices slipping, feedstock cost support for propylene is weakening. The widening PP-propylene spread and plant shutdowns create diverging signals, but cautious sentiment suggests limited upside today. I ex..
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