Core Logic: The raw material PO market continued its upward trend. Supply-side plant operations remained largely stable, maintaining a relatively tight balance. Active factories reported healthy shipments, with chaotic market quotes often involving premium sales. While cost-push inflation has slowed slightly, downstream demand remains supported by low inventory levels. The market outlook favors price increases over declines, with buyers mostly following passively. In the propylene glycol (PG) market, fluctuating crude oil prices and rising upstream feedstock costs have pushed supplier quotes higher. However, transactions at these elevated levels are sparse, as downstream users remain cautious due to fear of high prices. Attention is focused on today's new order quotes.
| Product | Region | Sep 10 | Sep 11 | Change Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Propylene Glycol (PG) | Shandong | 9,550 | 10,150 | +6.28% |
| Dimethyl Carbonate (DMC) | Shandong | 6,300 | 6,550 | +3.97% |
| Propylene Oxide (PO) | Shandong | 11,000 | 11,650 | +5.91% |
| Unsaturated Resin 191# | East China | 9,500 | 9,700 | +2.11% |
| Unsaturated Resin 196# | East China | 10,700 | 10,900 | +1.87% |
| Elastomeric Polyether 210 | Shandong | 12,100 | 12,800 | +5.79% |
Notes:
Last week, domestic PG market prices surged continuously. Regarding raw materials, cost support for the PO market has eased, but the tight supply-demand structure remains unchanged, keeping the market relatively strong. Producers may still anticipate further upside. In the PG market, suppliers maintain a wait-and-see attitude with a willingness to hold prices firm, while domestic downstream sentiment remains weak. Overall, the domestic PG market is expected to operate with a bullish bias. Continue to monitor plant operations within the market and guidance from raw material price trends.
| Indicator | Release Date | Previous Value | Expected Trend This Period |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weekly PG Production | Thursday 17:00 PM | 19,500 tons | ↗ |
| Weekly PG Capacity Utilization Rate | Thursday 17:00 PM | 65.08% | ↗ |
| Weekly PO Capacity Utilization Rate | Thursday 17:00 PM | 62.66% | ↗ |
| Weekly Profit (Transesterification Method PG & DMC) | Thursday 17:00 PM | +1,673.52 | ↗ |
Notes:
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