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Morning Market Update: Formaldehyde

Published on 2026-10-14

I. Key Points to Watch

  1. Monitor the price guidance of raw material methanol.
  2. Monitor the operating rates of downstream panel factories.
  3. Monitor the inventory levels of production enterprises.

Core Logic: Raw material methanol prices have declined, leading to lower costs. Formaldehyde supply is ample, while mainstream downstream panel operations remain mediocre, providing only general demand support. Most other downstream users are for self-consumption. The demand side remains a critical factor.

II. Price Table

Product Region Previous Period Current Period Change Rate
Formaldehyde Shandong Region 1780 1900 6.74%
Methanol Shandong Region 3900 3820 -2.05%
Notes: 1. Formaldehyde content is 37%; Methanol is national standard premium grade; 2. Prices are spot RMB prices, not weekly averages, unit: CNY/ton; 3. Formaldehyde price is ex-factory cash with tax; Methanol price is warehouse delivery cash with tax; 4. Change rate is the period-over-period percentage change.

III. Data Table

Formaldehyde Industry Supply and Demand Data Table

Data Type Previous Period Current Period Change Rate Trend
Formaldehyde Cost 1835 1799 -1.96% ↓
Formaldehyde Profit -55 101 283.64% ↑
Notes: 1. Formaldehyde content is 37%; Methanol is national standard premium grade; 2. Prices are spot RMB prices, not weekly averages, unit: CNY/ton; 3. Formaldehyde price is ex-factory cash with tax; Methanol price is warehouse delivery cash with tax; 4. Change rate is the period-over-period percentage change.

IV. Market Outlook

Today, the formaldehyde market center moved lower. Raw material methanol continued to decline. Affected by loosening cost support, formaldehyde plants lowered product selling prices to align with the market. Given the high volume of pending orders from previous periods and low current inventories, the decline was relatively rational. Intraday market buying sentiment was poor, with strong wait-and-see attitudes among traders. Chempricehub forecasts that the formaldehyde market will fluctuate within a low range in the short term.

Data Item Release Date Previous Data Current Period Trend Forecast
Formaldehyde Import Data End of each month at 17:30 BM 0.08 ↓
Formaldehyde Export Data End of each month at 17:30 BM 204.29 ↑
Notes: 1. ↓↑ indicates significant volatility, highlighting data dimensions with changes exceeding 3%. 2. ↗↘ indicates narrow-range fluctuations, highlighting data dimensions with changes within 0-3%.

Comments

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  • Wei Zhang 2026-10-14 10:04
    Formaldehyde margins widened to 101 CNY/ton as methanol feedstock costs fell, despite mediocre downstream demand. Low inventories supported the price rise, but weak buying sentiment and ample supply pose risks. I expect ..
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