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Home > News > Morning Market Update: Ethanol

Morning Market Update: Ethanol

Published on 2026-10-28

I. Key Points

  1. October 27: Multiple parties continue to push for de-escalation in the Middle East, easing concerns over supply risks and causing international oil prices to fall. NYMEX crude oil futures (December contract) closed at $99.90/bbl, down $1.86/bbl (-1.83% WoW); ICE Brent crude futures (December contract) closed at $113.88/bbl, down $1.93/bbl (-1.67% WoW). China INE crude oil futures (December 2026 contract) fell by 8.1 yuan to 731.6 yuan/barrel; night session dropped by 18.7 yuan to 712.9 yuan/barrel.

Core Logic:

  1. Food-grade Ethanol: Yesterday, regional market prices for standard food-grade ethanol fluctuated slightly due to changes in local plant operations, resulting in narrow price movements across regions.
  2. Anhydrous Ethanol: Yesterday, anhydrous ethanol market prices remained stable with minor consolidation.
  3. Fuel Ethanol: Yesterday, fuel ethanol market prices remained stable. Purchase prices from independent refineries rose slightly.
  4. Coal-based Ethanol: Yesterday, quoted prices for coal-based ethanol fluctuated downward.

II. Price List

Chempricehub Ethanol & Fuel Ethanol Related Products Morning Report

Product Region 2026/10/27 2026/10/26 Change Remarks
Crude Oil WTI 99.9 101.76 -1.86
Brent 113.88 115.81 -1.93
Domestic Gasoline Guideline Price (89#) 8475 8475 Shandong
Dried Cassava Chips Thailand 240-245 240-245 FOB, USD/ton
Delivered Factory Cost 1947-1984 1947-1984 East China, CNY/ton
Corn (Factory Intake) Heilongjiang 1988-2037 1988-2037 Heilongjiang
Jilin 2070-2100 2050-2100 +20/0 Jilin
Henan 2160-2170 2130-2150 +30/+20 Jiaozuo dry grain, 14% moisture
Shandong 2240-2240 2230-2230 +10/+10 Weifang dry grain, 14% moisture
Standard Grade Heilongjiang (East) 5100-5150 5050-5150 +50/0 Corn-based
Heilongjiang (West) 5180-5200 5180-5200 Corn-based
Jilin 5200-5280 5200-5280 Corn-based
Shandong - - Cassava-based, Ex-factory
Shandong 5650-5700 5650-5700 Wheat-based
Northern Jiangsu 5750-5780 5750-5780 Cassava-based
Southern Jiangsu 5850-5930 5850-5930 Cassava-based, Ex-factory
Anhui 5750-5800 5750-5800 Grain/Cassava-based
Guangxi 5600-5800 5600-5800 Molasses/Cassava-based
Premium Grade Heilongjiang 5150-5250 5100-5200 +50/+50 East/West, Corn-based
Jilin 5350-5450 5350-5450 Corn-based
Shandong 5700-5750 5700-5750 Wheat-based
Northern Jiangsu 5800-5800 5800-5800
Henan 5650-5660 5650-5690 0/-30 Corn-based
Anhydrous Ethanol Heilongjiang (Standard) 5700-5850 5700-5850 Corn-based
Heilongjiang (Electronic Grade) 5950-6000 5950-6000 Corn-based
Jilin (Standard) 5800-5850 5800-5850 Corn-based, mainly low-end transactions
Jilin (Electronic Grade) 5900-5920 5900-5920 Corn-based, mainly low-end transactions
Henan (Standard) 6250-6250 6250-6250 Corn-based
Henan (Electronic Grade) 6300-6300 6300-6300 Corn-based, no stock available
Northern Jiangsu 6450-6500 6450-6500 Cassava-based
Anhui 6450-6500 6450-6500 Grain/Cassava-based
Guangxi 6500-6600 6500-6600 Cassava-based
Port Jinzhou Port 5500-5500 5500-5500 Standard grade, Corn-based
Fuel Ethanol Heilongjiang (East) 5800-6087 5800-6087 Delivered to Heilongjiang
Heilongjiang (West) 5800-6087 5800-6087 Delivered to Heilongjiang
Liaoning 6000-6317 6000-6317 Delivered to Liaoning
Jilin 5600-6237 5600-6237 High-end delivered to Jilin
Panjin Independent Refinery (Delivered) - -
Shandong Independent Refinery (Delivered) 5740-5760 5850-5850 -110/-90 Delivered price
Synthetic/Coal-based Ethanol Shaanxi Starting Bid 5520 5520 Online starting bid price
Anhui Starting Bid 5910 5910 Online starting bid price
Henan Standard 5900 5900 Quote, negotiable upon transaction
Henan High-end - - Plant shut down
Shandong 6200 6200 Plant shut down
Hunan 6100 6100 Quote, negotiable upon transaction
Hebei 6350 6300 +50 Quote, negotiable upon transaction
Hubei 6050 6050 Quote, negotiable upon transaction
Guangdong 6650 6650 Quote, negotiable upon transaction
Ethyl Acetate East China (Self-pickup) 6700-6900 6700-6900
MTBE Shandong (Self-pickup) 8080-8150 8100-8200 -20/-50
DDGS Heilongjiang 2070-2140 2070-2140
Jilin 2150-2230 2150-2230
Henan 2080-2080 2100-2100 -20/-20
Freight Tracking Western Heilongjiang - Shandong 480-560 480-560 Standard Ethanol
Henan - Shandong 100-200 100-200
Eastern Heilongjiang - Shandong 400-440 400-440 Standard Ethanol
Northwest - Shandong 270-310 270-310
Mengzhou - Chengdu 360-390 360-390 Return empty trucks are relatively cheap

Unit: CNY/ton, USD/barrel

III. Data List

Data Type This Week Last Week Expected Trend
Cassava Ethanol Profit -279.51 -279.51 ↗
Corn Ethanol Profit -138.75 -138.75 ↗
Coal-based Ethanol Profit 300 300 ↗
Remarks: 1. Cassava ethanol profit refers to production profit for cassava ethanol in the Northern Jiangsu market of East China. 2. Corn ethanol profit refers to production profit for corn ethanol in the Heilongjiang market of Northeast China. 3. Molasses ethanol profit refers to production profit for molasses ethanol in the southern market.

Unit: CNY/ton

IV. Market Outlook

Domestic ethanol prices are expected to remain stable in the short term. Prices in Northeast China are stable; while some product categories face tight availability from plants, new trade orders are limited, keeping short-term prices steady. Prices in East China are stable as downstream contractual orders are being fulfilled. In Henan, prices may continue to decline after plants resume operations. Coal-based ethanol prices are stable as contractual orders are shipped. Fuel ethanol prices are stable but weak due to poor downstream demand.

Data Release Date Current Data Trend Forecast
Ethanol Operating Rate Thursday 15:00 PM 59.19% ↗
Ethyl Acetate Operating Rate Thursday 15:00 PM 51.08% ↗
Remarks: 1. ↑↓ indicates significant fluctuations, highlighting data dimensions with changes exceeding 3%. 2. ↗↘ indicates narrow fluctuations, highlighting data dimensions with changes within 0-3%.

Chempricehub Ethanol & Fuel Ethanol Related Products Morning Report

Product Region 2025/10/28 2025/10/27 Change Remarks
Crude Oil WTI 60.15 61.31 -1.16
Brent 64.4 65.62 -1.22
Domestic Gasoline Guideline Price (89#) 7969 7969 Shandong
Dried Cassava Chips Thailand 212-215 212-215 FOB, USD/ton
Delivered Factory Cost 1828-1856 1828-1856 East China, CNY/ton
Corn (Factory Intake) Heilongjiang 1955-2002 1955-2002 Heilongjiang
Jilin 2010-2090 2020-2090 -10/0 Jilin
Henan 2200-2210 2200-2210 Jiaozuo dry grain, 14% moisture
Shandong 2170-2170 2160-2160 +10/+10 Weifang dry grain, 14% moisture
Standard Grade Heilongjiang (East) 4820-4830 4820-4830 Corn-based
Heilongjiang (West) 4850-4900 4850-4900 Corn-based
Jilin 4950-5050 4950-5050 Corn-based
Shandong 5400-5400 5400-5400 Cassava-based, Ex-factory
Shandong 5150-5300 5150-5300 Wheat-based
Northern Jiangsu 5300-5300 5300-5300 Cassava-based
Southern Jiangsu 5400-5400 5400-5400 Cassava-based, Ex-factory
Anhui 5350-5350 5350-5350 Grain/Cassava-based
Guangxi 5650-5700 5650-5700 Cassava-based
Premium Grade Heilongjiang 4900-4950 4900-4950 East/West, Corn-based
Jilin 5100-5450 5100-5450 Corn-based
Shandong 5300-5350 5300-5350 Wheat-based
Northern Jiangsu 5380-5380 5380-5380
Henan 5230-5250 5230-5250 Corn-based
Anhydrous Ethanol Heilongjiang (Standard) 5400-5450 5400-5450 Corn-based
Heilongjiang (Electronic Grade) 5450-5500 5450-5500 Corn-based
Jilin (Standard) 5500-5850 5500-5850 Corn-based, mainly low-end transactions
Jilin (Electronic Grade) 5650-5950 5650-5950 Corn-based, mainly low-end transactions
Henan (Standard) 5900-5950 5900-5950 Corn-based
Henan (Electronic Grade) - - Corn-based, no stock available
Northern Jiangsu 5900-5900 5900-5900 Cassava-based
Anhui 5900-5950 5900-5950 Grain/Cassava-based
Guangxi 6350-6450 6350-6450 Cassava-based
Port Jinzhou Port 5100-5200 5100-5200 Standard grade, Corn-based
Fuel Ethanol Heilongjiang (East) 5200-5200 5200-5200
Heilongjiang (West) 5250-5250 5250-5250
Liaoning 5500-5500 5500-5500
Jilin 5400-5400 5400-5400
Panjin Independent Refinery (Delivered) - -
Shandong Independent Refinery (Delivered) 5250-5250 5260-5290 -10/-40 Delivered price
Synthetic/Coal-based Ethanol Shaanxi Starting Bid 5450 5450 Online quote
Anhui Starting Bid 5400 - Online starting bid price
Henan Standard 5800 5800 Hydrogenated acetate ester
Henan High-end - - Quote (Plant shut down on the 13th)
Shandong 5400 5460 -60 Quote
Hunan 5600 5600 Quote
Hebei 5600 5600 Quote, negotiable upon transaction
Guangdong - -
Guangdong High-end 5950 6100 -150 High-end, purity 99.9%
Ethyl Acetate East China (Self-pickup) 5140-5200 5140-5200
MTBE Shandong (Self-pickup) 4850-4950 4900-4950 -50/0
DDGS Heilongjiang 2030-2150 2030-2150
Jilin 1950-2250 1950-2250
Henan 2330-2330 2330-2330
Freight Tracking Western Heilongjiang - Shandong 280-300 280-300 Standard Ethanol
Henan - Shandong 100-200 100-200
Eastern Heilongjiang - Shandong 330-370 330-370 Fuel Ethanol
Northwest - Shandong 260-270 260-270
Mengzhou - Chengdu 250-300 250-300 Return empty trucks are relatively cheap

Comments

0
  • Daniel Foster 2026-10-28 10:02
    With crude falling on Middle East de-escalation, I expect coal-based ethanol to face margin pressure as feedstock costs remain sticky. Downstream demand for fuel ethanol looks steady, but Northeast capacity utilization m..
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