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Morning Market Update: Aniline

Published on 2026-10-21

I. Key Points

Pure Benzene: The market continues to assess the prospects of U.S.-Iran dialogue, with supply risk concerns easing slightly. ICE Brent crude futures for December settled at $108.79/bbl, down $0.76/bbl (-0.69% WtW). Yesterday saw increased trading volume, and crude oil remained firm in the morning session; the market is expected to open higher today and consolidate.

II. Price Table

Region Oct 21 Oct 20 Change
East China 16,750 16,750 0
Shandong 16,500 16,500 0
Notes:
1. Prices for East China are ex-works, tax-inclusive, bank acceptance notes (RMB); prices for Shandong are ex-works, cash settlement (RMB).
2. These figures represent point-in-time prices from the two weeks preceding this week, not weekly averages.
3. "Change" refers to the week-over-week variation.

III. Data Table

Aniline Industry Supply-Demand Data
Metric 2026/10/15 2026/10/8 Rate of Change Next Week Outlook
Capacity Utilization 84.44% 87.68% -3.24% ↓
Production Profit Margin 25.10% / / ↑
Output 8.63 8.96 -0.33 ↓
1. Capacity utilization reflects the ratio of actual production output to installed capacity, serving as a key indicator of production levels.
2. Production profit margin is an industry-wide metric reflecting overall profitability across major regions, calculated as industry profit divided by average price.
3. Output represents the domestic aniline industry's weekly production volume, measured in ten thousand tons.

IV. Market Outlook

Planned shutdowns at Jinling Dawang and unplanned outages at Huatai have introduced new pressure on market supply. Considering downstream purchasing capacity and the healthy development of the industrial chain, the upward momentum in aniline prices has paused, leading to sideways consolidation.

Comments

0
  • Elena Vasquez 2026-10-21 10:01
    Aniline capacity utilization dropped to 84.44% due to plant shutdowns, tightening supply despite stable benzene feedstock costs. While profit margins expanded to 25.10%, I expect price consolidation rather than a sharp r..
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