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Morning Market Update: Aniline

Published on 2026-10-16

I. Key Points:

Pure Benzene: Tightening geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to pose supply risks, while market sentiment regarding global demand remains pessimistic. ICE Brent crude futures (December contract) closed at $105.92/barrel, down $0.14/barrel (-0.13% day-on-day). Yesterday, trading activity cooled in the East China and Shandong markets, leading to price declines. With crude oil prices falling early this morning, spot markets are expected to remain soft today.

II. Price List

Region Oct 16 Oct 15 Change
East China 16,250 16,050 +200
Shandong 16,000 15,800 +200
Notes:
1. Prices for East China are ex-factory RMB prices including VAT with acceptance; prices for Shandong are ex-factory RMB prices based on cash settlement.
2. The two listed prices represent point-in-time prices from the previous two weeks relative to the current week, not weekly averages.
3. The "Change" column indicates the period-over-period variation.

III. Data Table

Aniline Industry Supply-Demand Data
Data Type 2026/10/8 2026/9/24 Change Rate Next Week Outlook
Capacity Utilization 87.68% 84.72% +2.96% ↓
Production Profit Margin / 21.63% / ↑
Output 8.96 8.66 +0.30 ↓
1. Capacity utilization reflects the ratio of actual output by production facilities to total capacity, serving as an indicator of production levels.
2. Production profit margin is industry-wide data reflecting overall profitability across major regions, calculated as industry profit divided by average price.
3. Output refers to the weekly domestic aniline industry production volume, measured in ten thousand tons.

IV. Market Outlook

Tight spot supply, stable demand, and strong cost support have led to another mid-week price increase in the aniline market. However, downstream industries' ability to absorb high raw material costs is gradually weakening, limiting further upward momentum for aniline prices.

Comments

0
  • Hannah Berg 2026-10-16 10:03
    Aniline saw a mid-week price bump on tight supply and cost support, but soft downstream absorption caps upside. With benzene facing geopolitical risks yet weak demand, I expect margin pressure to persist as capacity util..
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