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Morning Market Outlook for Aniline

Published on 2026-10-27

I. Key Points:

Pure Benzene: Mediators continue to push for US-Iran peace talks, slightly easing market concerns about supply risks, leading to a decline in international crude oil prices. ICE Brent futures (December contract) closed at $115.81/barrel, down $0.91/barrel (-0.78% WoW). Yesterday’s drop in crude oil dragged down East China market sentiment, narrowing the Shandong-East China price spread and weakening trading activity. The market is expected to open lower today and consolidate.

II. Price Table

Region Oct 27 Oct 26 Change
East China 16,750 16,750 0
Shandong 16,500 16,500 0
Notes:
1. East China RMB prices are ex-works, bank acceptance bill inclusive of tax; Shandong RMB prices are ex-works cash inclusive of tax.
2. Prices represent point-in-time values from the two weeks preceding this week, not weekly averages.
3. Change reflects week-over-week variation.

III. Data Table

Aniline Industry Supply-Demand Data
Metric 2026/10/22 2026/10/15 Change Rate Next Week Outlook
Capacity Utilization 79.79% 84.44% -4.65% ↑
Production Profit Margin 30.39% 25.10% +5.29% ↑
Output 8.15 8.63 -0.48 ↑
1. Capacity utilization measures the ratio of actual output to installed capacity, reflecting production levels.
2. Production profit margin is an industry-wide metric reflecting overall profitability across major regions, calculated as industry profit divided by average price.
3. Output refers to domestic aniline industry weekly capacity, unit: ten thousand tons.

IV. Market Outlook

Current market faces high supply pressure with limited tradable volumes available. Most downstream buyers are entering the market on an as-needed basis, while a few remain hesitant, waiting for further news guidance.

Comments

0
  • Priya Kapoor 2026-10-27 10:01
    Crude softening squeezed feedstock costs, lifting aniline margins despite lower capacity utilization. Stable spot prices suggest balanced supply-demand, but narrowing regional spreads hint at cautious downstream demand. ..
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