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Weekly Outlook for the Aniline Market

Published on 2026-10-26

I. Key Points:

Pure Benzene: Market attention is focused on the potential escalation of conflict between the U.S. and Iran, as well as the risk of continued Houthi attacks on Saudi energy facilities. ICE Brent crude futures for the December contract rose by USD 3.55/bbl to USD 116.72/bbl, a week-on-week increase of +3.14%. Supported by crude oil prices, Shandong prices rose over the weekend. With month-end deliveries approaching this week, the market is expected to maintain high-level volatility.

II. Price Table

Region Oct. 26 Oct. 23 Change
East China 16,750 16,750 0
Shandong 16,500 16,500 0
Notes:
1. Prices for East China (RMB) are ex-works, tax-inclusive, bank acceptance bill basis; prices for Shandong (RMB) are ex-works, cash basis.
2. The two periods refer to spot prices from the previous two weeks, not weekly averages.
3. "Change" indicates the week-on-week variation.

III. Data Table

Aniline Industry Supply-Demand Data
Data Type 2026/10/22 2026/10/15 Rate of Change Next Week Forecast
Capacity Utilization Rate 79.79% 84.44% -4.65% ↑
Production Profit Margin 30.39% 25.10% +5.29% ↑
Output 8.15 8.63 -0.48 ↑
1. Capacity utilization rate reflects production levels, defined as the ratio of actual plant output to total capacity.
2. Production profit margin is an industry-wide metric reflecting overall profitability in major regions, calculated as industry profit divided by average price.
3. Output refers to the weekly domestic aniline industry capacity, unit: 10,000 tons.

IV. Market Outlook

Restart plans for previously scheduled units have been delayed, sustaining expectations of tight spot supply. Consequently, the aniline market is consolidating at high levels.

Comments

0
  • Priya Kapoor 2026-10-26 10:01
    With delayed restarts keeping spot supply tight, capacity utilization dipped but production profit margins rose significantly. I expect aniline prices to stay firm as pure benzene volatility from geopolitical tensions im..
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