I. Key Focus Points
Core Logic: Mixed bullish and bearish factors result in narrow-range fluctuations in market conditions.
II. Price Table
| Product | Region | Oct 12 | Oct 10 | Change Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Butadiene | Shandong Luzhong Delivered | 13750 | 14050 | -2.14% |
| Butadiene | Jiangyin Ex-tank Self-pickup | 13375 | 13850 | -3.43% |
| Butadiene | CFR China | 1620 | 1620 | 0.00% |
| Crude Oil | ICE Brent | 106.65 | 104.72 | 1.84% |
| BR Rubber | Daqing BR9000 | 16550 | 16700 | -0.90% |
| Notes: | ||||
| 1. The unit for CFR China is USD/ton, and for crude oil is USD/barrel; all other units are CNY/ton. | ||||
| 2. Prices represent point-in-time values from the two preceding working weeks of this week, not weekly averages. | ||||
| 3. The change rate reflects period-over-period variation. |
III. Market Outlook
In the short term, domestic production has decreased slightly due to shutdowns and maintenance at certain facilities in Northeast and North China regions. Combined with cost support from high crude oil prices, some traders show little willingness to offer lower prices. However, downstream enterprises have limited acceptance of high-priced raw materials, resulting in cautious inquiry behavior and low intent for actual transactions. Consequently, the domestic butadiene market is expected to remain primarily within a narrow fluctuation range.
IV. Data Calendar
| Data Type | Release Date | Previous Period Data | Current Period Trend Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Butadiene Port Inventory | Wednesday 17:00 PM | 2.6 | ↗ |
| Butadiene Production Profit | Friday 17:00 PM | 4137.98 | ↘ |
| Butadiene Inventory Analysis | Friday 17:00 PM | 4.60 | ↗ |
| Butadiene Weekly Operating Rate | Friday 17:00 PM | 69.71% | ↘ |
| Butadiene Weekly Output | Friday 17:00 PM | 11.28 | ↘ |
| 1. ↓↑ indicates significant volatility, highlighting data dimensions with changes exceeding 3%. | |||
| 2. ↗↘ indicates narrow-range volatility, highlighting data with changes within 0–3%. |
Comments
0