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Home > News > Morning Market Briefing: Dimethyl Carbonate (DMC)

Morning Market Briefing: Dimethyl Carbonate (DMC)

Published on 2026-11-05

I. Key Focus Areas (Highlighting Cost Changes, Weekly Supply-Demand Outlook, and Hot Events)

  1. Nov 4: The Democratic Party won the U.S. midterm elections. Market expectations suggest that the U.S.-Iran conflict will de-escalate, reducing concerns over supply risks and causing international oil prices to fall. NYMEX WTI crude oil futures (December contract) closed at $88.12/bbl, down $7.97/bbl (-8.29% WoW); ICE Brent crude oil futures (January contract) closed at $94.62/bbl, down $8.98/bbl (-8.67% WoW). China INE crude oil futures (December 2026 contract) fell by CNY 18.7 to CNY 676.2/bbl; the night session dropped by CNY 47.8 to CNY 628.4/bbl.
  2. Propylene Oxide (PO): On the previous business day, the domestic PO market continued to see price negotiations trending downward. Jinling Chemical's unit returned to normal external sales, restoring supply on-site. Trading sentiment remained weak, with prices still facing downward pressure in negotiations. Some regions in East China adjusted prices accordingly, but transaction volumes were limited. The spot price of feedstock propylene slowed its decline, while liquid chlorine prices fell. Downstream demand remained cautious, waiting for lower prices to follow up on rigid demand. Overall sentiment remains one of cautious observation.
Product Region Nov 3 Nov 4 Change Rate
Dimethyl Carbonate (DMC) Shandong 5,125 5,050 -1.46%
Dimethyl Carbonate (DMC) East China 5,350 5,300 -0.93%
Dimethyl Carbonate (DMC) South China 5,950 5,850 -1.68%
Dimethyl Carbonate (DMC) Northwest China 4,552.5 4,325.5 -4.46%
Notes:
1. DMC refers to industrial grade.
2. Unit: CNY/ton.
3. For RMB prices in the table above: Shandong is ex-factory (acceptance bill basis); East China is delivered (acceptance bill basis); South China is delivered (T/T basis); Northwest China is ex-factory (T/T basis).
4. Change rate refers to Week-over-Week (WoW) variation.

III. Market Outlook

Data Indicator Release Time Previous Period Data Current Period Trend Forecast
Weekly DMC Output Thursday 17:00 PM 59,300 tons ↘
Weekly PO Operating Rate Thursday 17:00 PM 70.19% ↘
Weekly DMC Operating Rate Thursday 17:00 PM 78.01% ↘
Weekly Profit from PO Ester Exchange Method (CNY/ton) Thursday 17:00 PM 91.1 ↘
Notes:
1. ↑↓ indicates significant volatility, highlighting data dimensions with changes exceeding 3%.
2. ↗↘ indicates narrow-range fluctuations, highlighting data dimensions with changes within 0-3%.

Forecast: On the previous business day, the domestic DMC market continued its downward trend. Prices for feedstock Propylene Oxide (PO) kept falling, further weakening cost support and leading to generally poor trading sentiment. Some plants actively offered discounts to clear inventory and stimulate mid- and downstream purchasing, but the effect was limited, with the overall market still characterized by gradual declines. Chempricehub believes that in the short term, the domestic DMC market will mainly undergo consolidation. Attention should be paid to raw material prices and shipment conditions at various producers.

Comments

0
  • Wei Zhang 2026-11-05 10:01
    With crude plunging and feedstock costs falling, DMC margins are squeezed. Jinling’s restored supply adds pressure amid weak downstream demand. I expect continued softness in spot prices as market sentiment remains caut..
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