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Formaldehyde Market Weekly Outlook

Published on 2026-10-19

I. Key Focus Points

  1. Monitor feedstock methanol price guidance.
  2. Monitor operating rates of downstream panel manufacturers.
  3. Monitor inventory levels of production enterprises.

Core Logic: Feedstock methanol prices have retreated, leading to lower costs. Formaldehyde supply remains ample, while mainstream downstream panel production rates are flat, providing limited demand support. Other downstream sectors primarily consume for internal use, making the demand side a critical factor.

II. Price Table

Product Region Previous Period Current Period Change Rate
Formaldehyde Shandong 1780 1900 6.74%
Methanol Shandong 3900 3820 -2.05%

Notes:

  1. Formaldehyde content is 37%; methanol meets National Standard Premium Grade specifications.
  2. Prices represent spot RMB prices (not weekly averages), in CNY/ton.
  3. Formaldehyde prices are ex-factory, cash-in-advance, tax-inclusive; methanol prices are ex-warehouse, cash-in-advance, tax-inclusive.
  4. Change rate refers to the period-over-period percentage change.

III. Data Table

Formaldehyde Industry Supply and Demand Data

Data Type Previous Period Current Period Change Rate Trend
Formaldehyde Cost 1835 1799 -1.96% ↓
Formaldehyde Profit -55 101 283.64% ↑

Notes:

  1. Formaldehyde content is 37%; methanol meets National Standard Premium Grade specifications.
  2. Prices represent spot RMB prices (not weekly averages), in CNY/ton.
  3. Formaldehyde prices are ex-factory, cash-in-advance, tax-inclusive; methanol prices are ex-warehouse, cash-in-advance, tax-inclusive.
  4. Change rate refers to the period-over-period percentage change.

IV. Market Outlook

Today, the formaldehyde market center shifted downward. While feedstock support strengthened in major producing regions, product prices were constrained by strong price-suppression sentiment from the downstream man-made board market. Consequently, formaldehyde plants struggled to pass on cost increases amidst volatile cost channels due to weak bargaining power, resulting in passive price declines. Chempricehub forecasts that the formaldehyde market may stabilize and cease declining in the short term.

Data Item Release Date Previous Data Current Trend Forecast
Formaldehyde Import Data Monthly end at 17:30 BM 0.08 ↓
Formaldehyde Export Data Monthly end at 17:30 BM 204.29 ↑

Legend:

  1. ↓↑ indicates significant fluctuation, highlighting data dimensions with change rates exceeding 3%.
  2. ↗↘ indicates minor fluctuation, highlighting data dimensions with change rates between 0% and 3%.

Comments

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  • Olivier Dupont 2026-10-19 10:00
    Formaldehyde margins improved as methanol feedstock costs fell, yet flat downstream panel demand limits pricing power. With ample supply and weak bargaining leverage against manufacturers, I expect short-term stability r..
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