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Downstream Players Adopt a Cautious Wait-and-See Approach; Market Prices Edge Lower (Sept. 14, 2026)

Published on 2026-09-14
  1. Daily Summary

① On September 14, Sinopec East China ex-factory price for butadiene remained stable at 14,900 CNY/ton, while downstream synthetic rubber market prices declined.

② On September 14, the domestic butadiene industry operating rate was 66.38%, unchanged from the previous working day.

  1. Spot Market Overview

Table: Domestic Butadiene Price Summary (Unit: CNY/ton)

Price Type Producer/Region Sep 14 Price Sep 11 Price Change (Value) Change (%)
Ex-factory Quote Sinopec East China 14900 14900 0 0.00%
Sinopec South China 14800 14800 0 0.00%
Sinopec North China 14900 14900 0 0.00%
Sinopec Central China 14900 14900 0 0.00%
Lianyungang Petrochemical 14400 14750 -350 -2.37%
Shenghong Refining & Chemical 14500 14900 -400 -2.68%
Dalian Hengli 14710 14710 0 0.00%
Yantai Wanhua 14500 14700 -200 -1.36%
Liaoyang Petrochemical 14300 14300 0 0.00%
Shenhua Ningmei -- -- -- --
Inner Mongolia Jiutai 13500 14000 -500 -3.57%
Dongming Petrochemical -- -- -- --
Yulong Petrochemical 14250 14700 -450 -3.06%
Market Price Shandong Luzhong Delivered 14450 14775 -325 -2.20%
Jiangyin Tank Truck Pickup 14200 14500 -300 -2.07%
Huanghai West Bank Pickup 14240 14700 -460 -3.13%
Key Downstream
Cis-Butadiene Rubber (BR) Shandong Daqing BR9000 15600 15650 -50 -0.32%
Styrene-Butadiene Rubber (SBR) Shandong Qilu 1502 15700 16000 -300 -1.88%

Data Source: Chempricehub

Taking the delivered price in the Shandong Luzhong region as the benchmark, today's closing price was 14,450 CNY/ton, a decrease of 450 CNY/ton compared to the previous period. Today, domestic butadiene market prices continued their downward trend. Early in the week, downstream demand showed no significant improvement, and major downstream synthetic rubber products trended lower. Market participants adopted a cautious wait-and-see attitude. Sporadic transactions at higher prices were heard before noon, but market sentiment weakened further in the afternoon. Downstream buyers lacked follow-through purchasing power, and traders lowered their offers, dragging the market down. The delivered price range in the Shandong Luzhong region was 14,300–14,600 CNY/ton, while the reference price for tank truck pickups in East China was around 14,200 CNY/ton.

On September 14, the domestic butadiene industry operating rate stood at 66.38%, remaining stable compared to the previous working day. Regarding theoretical production profits, Japanese naphtha markets rose on September 14. With Sinopec butadiene prices holding steady at 14,900 CNY/ton, the theoretical production profit for butadiene via C4 extraction declined. The calculated profit for the C4 extraction process was 515.85 CNY/ton.

  1. Price Forecast

In the short term, as Dongming Petrochemical units gradually restart, domestic output may see a slight increase. However, downstream demand remains weak, with reduced willingness to purchase butadiene. This suggests that the tightness in circulating spot resources may ease. Nevertheless, considering low inventory levels in the East China region and cost-side support, the domestic butadiene market is expected to remain narrowly weak.

  1. Related Products Status

Synthetic Rubber Market: Today, prices for both cis-butadiene rubber (BR) and styrene-butadiene rubber (SBR) declined. In the Shandong market, Daqing BR9000 dropped by 50 CNY/ton to 15,600 CNY/ton, while Qilu SBR 1502 fell by 300 CNY/ton to 15,700 CNY/ton.

  1. Data Calendar

Table 4: Domestic Butadiene Data Overview (Unit: 10k tons, CNY/ton)

Data Item Release Date Previous Period Data Current Period Trend Forecast
Butadiene Port Inventory Wed 17:00 PM 1.90
Butadiene Production Profit Fri 17:00 PM 5704.78
Butadiene Inventory Analysis Fri 17:00 PM 3.47
Butadiene Weekly Operating Rate Fri 17:00 PM 63.85%
Butadiene Weekly Output Fri 17:00 PM 10.31

Data Source: Chempricehub

Notes:

  1. ↓↑ indicates significant fluctuations, highlighting data dimensions with changes exceeding 3%.
  2. ↗↘ indicates narrow fluctuations, highlighting data with changes within 0–3%.

Comments

0
  • Priya Kapoor 2026-09-14 20:15
    With butadiene capacity utilization stuck at 66.38%, weak downstream demand is squeezing margins. I’m watching for further price erosion as non-Sinopec players cut quotes, signaling a bearish short-term outlook despite ..
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