I. Key Points
Core Logic: The loss margin for phenol and acetone enterprises has widened; Jiangyin port inventory has decreased slightly; Sinopec East China lowered its prices; and the operating level of domestic phenol and acetone units has increased.
II. Price List
| Product | Region | Sep 24 | Sep 20 | Change Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phenol | East China | 8715 | 9050 | -3.70% |
| Pure Benzene | East China | 10250 | 9560 | +7.72% |
| Propylene | Shandong | 9450 | 9635 | -1.92% |
| Bisphenol A | East China | 11200 | 11200 | 0.00% |
| Notes: 1. All products (Phenol, Pure Benzene, Propylene, Bisphenol A) are National Standard Premium Grade. 2. Listed prices are spot ex-warehouse prices in RMB/ton. 3. Prices represent point-in-time values from the two previous working weeks before this week, not weekly averages. 4. Change rate refers to the period-over-period percentage change. |
III. Data List
| Metric | Sep 24 | Sep 20 | Change Rate | This Week's Outlook |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phenol & Acetone Unit Operating Rate | 83% | 80% | +3 percentage points | ↗ |
| Phenol & Acetone Production Profit | -643 | -384 | -67.45% | → |
| Notes: 1. Operating rate reflects the ratio of actual output to capacity for producing enterprises, indicating production status. 2. Production profit is an industry-level metric reflecting the overall profitability of mainstream producers, in RMB/ton. 3. Values represent point-in-time data from the two previous working weeks before this week, not weekly averages. 4. Change rate refers to the period-over-period percentage change. |
IV. Market Outlook
Last week, the domestic phenol market was dominated by downward trends. Although raw material pure benzene showed an overall strong trend, cost-side positives were difficult to pass through. End-user enterprises had low willingness to purchase, with weak stocking sentiment amid falling prices. Demand inquiries remained low, and holders faced difficulties selling, leading to discount offers and a continuous downward shift in price centers. Both buyers and sellers participated cautiously, with limited negotiation progress. It is expected that today’s domestic phenol market will fluctuate within a narrow range. Attention should be paid to cost prices, end-user buying interest, and enterprise developments. Cautious operation is recommended.
V. Data Calendar
| Data Item | Release Date | Previous Data | Current Trend Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phenol Port Inventory | Friday 10:00 AM | 7,000 tons | → |
| Phenol & Acetone Enterprise Operating Rate | Friday 17:00 PM | 83% | ↗ |
| Notes: 1. ↓↑ indicates significant volatility, highlighting data dimensions with changes exceeding 3%. 2. ↗↘ indicates narrow-range volatility, highlighting data with changes within 0-3%. 3. → indicates stability. |
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