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Weekly Outlook for the Phenol Market

Published on 2026-09-28

I. Key Points

  1. On September 24, the production profit for phenol and acetone enterprises was -643 RMB/ton, a decrease of 259 RMB/ton compared to September 20.
  2. On September 24, port inventory of phenol in Jiangyin stood at 7,000 tons. Short-term focus should be on the replenishment volume from domestic shipping.
  3. As of September 24, Sinopec East China’s opening price for phenol was set at 8,900 RMB/ton.
  4. On September 24, the overall operating load of domestic phenol and acetone units was around 83%.

Core Logic: The loss margin for phenol and acetone enterprises has widened; Jiangyin port inventory has decreased slightly; Sinopec East China lowered its prices; and the operating level of domestic phenol and acetone units has increased.

II. Price List

Product Region Sep 24 Sep 20 Change Rate
Phenol East China 8715 9050 -3.70%
Pure Benzene East China 10250 9560 +7.72%
Propylene Shandong 9450 9635 -1.92%
Bisphenol A East China 11200 11200 0.00%
Notes: 1. All products (Phenol, Pure Benzene, Propylene, Bisphenol A) are National Standard Premium Grade. 2. Listed prices are spot ex-warehouse prices in RMB/ton. 3. Prices represent point-in-time values from the two previous working weeks before this week, not weekly averages. 4. Change rate refers to the period-over-period percentage change.

III. Data List

Metric Sep 24 Sep 20 Change Rate This Week's Outlook
Phenol & Acetone Unit Operating Rate 83% 80% +3 percentage points ↗
Phenol & Acetone Production Profit -643 -384 -67.45% →
Notes: 1. Operating rate reflects the ratio of actual output to capacity for producing enterprises, indicating production status. 2. Production profit is an industry-level metric reflecting the overall profitability of mainstream producers, in RMB/ton. 3. Values represent point-in-time data from the two previous working weeks before this week, not weekly averages. 4. Change rate refers to the period-over-period percentage change.

IV. Market Outlook

Last week, the domestic phenol market was dominated by downward trends. Although raw material pure benzene showed an overall strong trend, cost-side positives were difficult to pass through. End-user enterprises had low willingness to purchase, with weak stocking sentiment amid falling prices. Demand inquiries remained low, and holders faced difficulties selling, leading to discount offers and a continuous downward shift in price centers. Both buyers and sellers participated cautiously, with limited negotiation progress. It is expected that today’s domestic phenol market will fluctuate within a narrow range. Attention should be paid to cost prices, end-user buying interest, and enterprise developments. Cautious operation is recommended.

V. Data Calendar

Data Item Release Date Previous Data Current Trend Forecast
Phenol Port Inventory Friday 10:00 AM 7,000 tons →
Phenol & Acetone Enterprise Operating Rate Friday 17:00 PM 83% ↗
Notes: 1. ↓↑ indicates significant volatility, highlighting data dimensions with changes exceeding 3%. 2. ↗↘ indicates narrow-range volatility, highlighting data with changes within 0-3%. 3. → indicates stability.

Comments

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  • James Morrison 2026-09-28 20:06
    Phenol producers are squeezed by a -643 RMB/ton loss margin as pure benzene feedstock costs surge while downstream demand stays weak. With operating rates hitting 83%, the risk of oversupply looms despite slight inventor..
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