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Weak Trading Sentiment Leads to Slight Downward Trend in Market Prices (Sept. 25–30, 2026)

Published on 2026-09-30
  1. Key Market Focus This Week

① Domestic sulfur production for the week (September 25 – October 1, 2026) is estimated at approximately 211,400 tons, representing a month-on-month increase of 0.62%.

② National port inventory stood at 963,400 tons, an increase of 3.47% compared to last Thursday.

③ The industry utilization rate for monoammonium phosphate this week was 46.39%, down 0.39 percentage points from last Thursday. The utilization rate for diammonium phosphate was 42.40%, down 1.24 percentage points from last Thursday.

  1. Weekly Market Analysis

This week, the domestic sulfur market experienced a slight decline. As of now, the mainstream granular price at Zhenjiang Port stands at 7,100 yuan/ton, a decrease of 50 yuan/ton (-0.70%) compared to last Thursday. On the international front, sluggish global demand has forced some suppliers to accept lower quotations to secure cash flow and accelerate the shipment of spot cargo. However, existing buyers remain largely in a wait-and-see mode, anticipating further market declines. In China, there have been no significant USD-denominated negotiation updates, further confirming the weakness in domestic demand.

Domestically, on the first working day following the holiday, inquiry and buying activity at ports did not substantially recover. Sellers maintained pre-holiday quotation levels, resulting in flat trading performance and a sideways market trend. Subsequently, selling pressure persisted within the ports; however, habitual pricing failed to attract interest from potential buyers. Consequently, individual sellers adjusted their prices, causing the market center to shift downward. With another holiday approaching, various traders are poised for opportunities, and some holders are adjusting positions accordingly. Although negotiations involve some back-and-forth, reports indicate that small-lot transactions continue to close around 7,100 yuan/ton.

Table 1: Comparison of Domestic Sulfur Prices at Ports (Unit: Yuan/Ton)

Market Grade 2026/9/24 2026/9/24 Change Value Change Rate
Zhenjiang Port Granular 7,150 7,100 -50 -0.70%
Dafeng Port Granular 7,130 7,080 -50 -0.70%
Data Source: Chempricehub
  1. Analysis of Market Influencing Factors

① Puguang Wanzhou currently does not offer external quotes.

② As of September 30, port inventory in the Yangtze River region reached 317,000 tons, an increase of 2.26% compared to last week.

  1. Next Week Price Forecast

Market participants typically maintain a wait-and-see attitude after holidays. While interactions between industrial and trade entities may be limited, inquiries and tentative probes will likely occur. The operational intentions of long-term contract suppliers will objectively influence market sentiment. If these suppliers lack initiative, the market may stabilize sideways. Conversely, if they actively engage in restocking, the market trend may improve.

Comments

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  • Priya Kapoor 2026-10-01 20:09
    Sulfur prices slid to 7,100 yuan/ton as port inventories rose and phosphate fertilizer capacity utilization dropped. This weak downstream demand pressures margins, with buyers adopting a wait-and-see stance amid sluggish..
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