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Published on 2026-10-30
  1. Today's Summary

① On October 30, Sinopec East China raised its ex-factory price for butadiene by CNY 400, effective today at CNY 14,900/ton. Downstream synthetic rubber prices have also risen.

② On October 30, the domestic butadiene industry capacity utilization rate stood at 67.16%, a decrease of 0.03 percentage points from the previous business day.

  1. Spot Market Overview

Table: Domestic Butadiene Price Summary (Unit: CNY/ton)

Price Type Producer/Region 2026/10/30 2026/10/29 Change (CNY) Change (%)
Ex-factory Quote Sinopec East China 14,900 14,500 +400 +2.76%
Sinopec South China 14,850 14,450 +400 +2.77%
Sinopec North China 15,000 14,600 +400 +2.74%
Sinopec Central China 14,900 14,500 +400 +2.76%
Lianyungang Petrochemical 14,700 14,420 +280 +1.94%
Shenghong Refining & Chemical 14,700 14,450 +250 +1.73%
Dalian Hengli 14,760 14,360 +400 +2.79%
Yantai Wanhua 14,600 14,600 0 0.00%
Liaoyang Petrochemical 13,580 13,580 0 0.00%
Shenhua Ningxia Coal Industry Group 14,650 14,230 +420 +2.95%
Inner Mongolia Jiutai 14,200 14,000 +200 +1.43%
Dongming Petrochemical 14,820 14,400 +420 +2.92%
Yulong Petrochemical 14,015 14,015 0 0.00%
Market Price Shandong Luzhong Delivered 15,150 14,750 +400 +2.71%
Jiangyin Tank Departure Self-pickup 14,560 14,350 +210 +1.46%
West Coast of Yellow Sea Self-pickup 14,700 14,440 +260 +1.80%
Key Downstream Products
Polybutadiene Rubber Shandong Daqing BR9000 17,100 16,700 +400 +2.40%
Styrene-Butadiene Rubber Shandong Qilu 1502 16,900 16,800 +100 +0.60%

Source: Chempricehub

Using the delivered price in the Shandong Luzhong region as a benchmark, the price closed at CNY 15,150/ton today, up CNY 400/ton week-on-week. The domestic butadiene market continued to strengthen. Crude oil and naphtha prices remained high, providing solid cost support. Coupled with rising prices for major downstream products, bullish sentiment intensified within the market. Sellers raised their offers, leading to an upward shift in transaction centers and further strengthening market conditions. Delivered prices in the Shandong Luzhong region ranged from CNY 15,000–15,300/ton, while self-pickup prices for tank departures in East China referenced CNY 14,500–14,620/ton.

On October 30, the domestic butadiene industry capacity utilization rate was 67.16%, down 0.03 percentage points from the previous business day. Regarding theoretical production profit, on October 29, the Japanese naphtha market saw a slight increase, while Sinopec maintained its butadiene price at CNY 14,500/ton. Consequently, the theoretical production profit for butadiene via C4 extraction declined, calculated at CNY 4,284.83/ton using the C4 extraction process.

  1. Price Forecast

In the short term, crude oil and naphtha prices are expected to remain high, maintaining bottom-level cost support. Additionally, maintenance shutdowns at some facilities suggest a potential reduction in output, strengthening supply-side support. Meanwhile, increased operating rates among downstream users have enhanced demand and willingness to purchase butadiene, boosting market momentum. However, resistance to higher prices persists among downstream buyers, resulting in moderate transaction volumes. Therefore, the domestic butadiene market is predicted to trend slightly stronger amid volatility.

  1. Related Product Markets

Synthetic Rubber Market: Today, prices for polybutadiene and styrene-butadiene rubber rose. In the Shandong market, Daqing BR9000 increased by CNY 400/ton to reach CNY 17,100/ton. Similarly, Qilu SBR 1502 in the Shandong market rose by CNY 100/ton to CNY 16,900/ton.

  1. Data Calendar

Table: Domestic Butadiene Data Overview (Units: 10,000 tons, CNY/ton)

Data Indicator Release Date Previous Value Expected Trend
Butadiene Port Inventory Wed 17:00 PM 2.53 ↗
Butadiene Production Profit Fri 17:00 PM 3,629.35 ↗
Butadiene Inventory Analysis Fri 17:00 PM 4.56 ↘
Weekly Butadiene Capacity Utilization Rate Fri 17:00 PM 67.19% ↘
Weekly Butadiene Output Fri 17:00 PM 10.87 ↘

Source: Chempricehub

Notes:

  1. ↓↑ indicates significant fluctuations, highlighting data dimensions with changes exceeding 3%.
  2. ↗↘ indicates narrow-range fluctuations, highlighting data with changes within 0–3%.

Comments

0
  • Wei Zhang 2026-10-30 20:06
    Butadiene prices jumped 400 yuan/ton, driven by crude oil costs and synthetic rubber demand. However, with capacity utilization at just 67%, supply constraints remain tight. I worry this margin squeeze could persist if d..
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