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Morning Market Outlook for Aniline

Published on 2026-10-09

I. Key Focus Points:

Pure Benzene: Instability in the Middle East continues, compounded by hurricanes causing shutdowns at some U.S. offshore oil wells. ICE Brent crude futures (December contract) rose to $104.28/barrel, an increase of $4.08/barrel or +4.07% week-over-week. Yesterday's decline in port inventories and reports of production cuts by certain manufacturers drove significant gains in both futures prices and spot markets. Prices are expected to continue oscillating at high levels today; attention should be paid to adjustments in major producers' pricing.

II. Price Table

Region Oct 9 Oct 8 Change
East China 15,320 15,020 +300
Shandong 15,100 14,800 +300
Notes:
1. The RMB price for East China is the ex-factory acceptance bill tax-inclusive price; the RMB price for Shandong is the ex-factory cash payment price.
2. The prices listed are point-in-time values from the two preceding weeks, not weekly averages.
3. The change value represents the week-over-week variation.

III. Data Table

Aniline Industry Supply & Demand Data
Data Type Sep 24, 2026 Sep 17, 2026 Rate of Change Next Week Outlook
Capacity Utilization Rate 84.72% 84.48% +0.24% ↑
Production Profit Margin 21.63% 20.94% +0.69% ↑
Output 8.66 8.63 +0.03 ↑
1. Capacity utilization rate reflects the ratio of actual output to installed capacity, serving as a production indicator.
2. Production profit margin is industry-level data reflecting the overall profitability across mainstream regions, calculated as the ratio of industry profit to average price.
3. Output refers to the domestic aniline industry's weekly production capacity, unit: 10,000 tons.

IV. Market Outlook

Following the return from the holiday, the raw material pure benzene strengthened significantly. Market sentiment and expectations have simultaneously turned bullish. After aniline profit margins were noticeably compressed, factories actively raised prices to restore profitability.

Comments

0
  • Sarah Mitchell 2026-10-09 09:30
    Benzene feedstock costs jumped 300 RMB/ton amid supply shocks. While this boosts aniline margins and capacity utilization, downstream demand may soften if prices stay elevated. I expect volatility to persist as producers..
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