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Morning Market Brief: Octanol

Published on 2026-11-12

I. Key Focus Points

  1. Octanol prices continue to decline, driven by essential replenishment demand from buyers.
  2. Propylene prices have dropped significantly, alleviating cost pressure on octanol production.
  3. Nov 11: Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East remain unstable, and prospects for U.S.-Iran negotiations are unclear, leading to a rise in international crude oil prices. NYMEX WTI crude futures (December contract) closed at $86.53/barrel, up $0.49 (+0.57%); ICE Brent crude futures (January contract) closed at $92.76/barrel, up $1.27 (+1.39%).

Core Logic: Operating rates of downstream units are recovering, narrowing the supply-demand gap for octanol.

II. Price Data Table

Comparison of Octanol and Downstream Product Prices

Unit: CNY/ton

Product Region Previous Period Current Period Change Rate
Octanol Shandong 9,500 9,350 -1.58%
DOP Shandong 10,700 10,600 -0.93%
DOTP Zhejiang 10,800 10,700 -0.93%

Data Source: Chempricehub
Note: Prices for Octanol, DOTP, and DOP represent ex-warehouse, cash-inclusive tax prices for National Standard Premium Grade products.

III. Market Outlook

Yesterday, the market center of gravity for octanol declined. Trading was supported by essential replenishment demand from buyers, resulting in a moderate overall trading atmosphere. Improved profitability in downstream sectors has led to increased operating rates for plasticizer units, thereby boosting essential demand for octanol compared to previous periods. It is expected that today’s octanol market will consolidate within the lower price range.

IV. Data Calendar

Data Item Release Date Previous Data Trend Forecast (Current Period)
Production Volume Thursday 17:00 69,700 tons ↗
Capacity Utilization Rate Thursday 17:00 75% ↗
Profit (Weekly Average) Thursday 17:00 35 CNY/ton ↘

Data Source: Chempricehub
Notes:

  1. ↓↑ indicates significant volatility, highlighting data dimensions with changes exceeding ±3%.
  2. ↗↘ indicates narrow-range fluctuations, highlighting data dimensions with changes within 0–3%.

Comments

0
  • Marcus Hayes 2026-11-12 10:01
    With propylene feedstock costs dropping, octanol margins are squeezed despite recovering downstream demand. The narrowing supply-demand gap suggests prices will consolidate at lower levels. I’m watching capacity utiliza..
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