How is the shift to Nvidia liquid cooling affecting demand for propylene glycol in China?
1,3-Propanediol (PDO) is a separate molecule from conventional propylene glycol (1,2-PG), used primarily to make PTT polyester fiber. China's PDO market was valued at about 1.57 billion yuan in 2022, with roughly 80% of demand feeding PTT production. Historically, domestic PDO relied on imports—DuPont and Shell controlled the technology—keeping PTT plant utilization at only around 40% due to high feedstock costs. That is changing: new domestic capacity is coming online, including Huafon's acquisition of DuPont's bio-based PDO business and Huaheng's 50,000-ton/year plant. Forecasts project the market reaching 2.3 billion yuan by 2028, a 6.9% CAGR, as domestic output replaces imports and PTT capacity utilization rises. However, increased local supply is expected to push PDO prices downward over time.
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