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How is capacity relocation reshaping Basic Chemicals supply?

Wei Zhang
Published on 2026-08-15

How is capacity relocation reshaping Basic Chemicals supply?
Basic Chemicals capacity is shifting decisively toward China and resource-rich western regions. European producers are retrenching: BASF lifted Asia investment 34% while cutting Europe, Evonik is exiting polyolefins and polyester, and LyondellBasell plans to sell European assets. China already holds roughly 60% of global methanol capacity and about half of chlor-alkali and phosphorus chemical capacity, with ethylene capacity at 23% of the world. Within China, power cost drives caustic soda toward Xinjiang and Inner Mongolia, and natural-alkali soda ash expansion in Alxa is set to lower the cost curve. The competitive edge increasingly belongs to players with self-supplied power, integrated feedstock and scale.

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  • Marcus Hayes 2026-08-16 08:05
    Relocation is not just about volume; it resets the cost floor. Natural-alkali soda ash at far lower cost than ammonia or combined processes will pressure prices as its share grows. For buyers, the question is whether western capacity can absorb logistics costs and still undercut coastal supply on delivered terms.
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