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Home > News > Ethanol Market Weekly Outlook (September 14, 2026)

Ethanol Market Weekly Outlook (September 14, 2026)

Published on 2026-09-14

I. Key Points

  1. September 11: Although tensions in the Middle East remain high, multiple parties are pushing for diplomatic solutions to mitigate risks, leading to a decline in international crude oil prices. NYMEX WTI futures (October contract) closed at $100.05/bbl, down $2.43 (-2.37%); ICE Brent futures (November contract) closed at $104.61/bbl, down $3.02 (-2.81%). China INE crude oil futures (contract 2610) rose by 41.5 yuan/barrel to 809.9 yuan/barrel during the day session, and rose by another 40.2 yuan/barrel to 850.1 yuan/barrel in the night session.

Core Logic:

  1. Edible Ethanol: Yesterday, regional edible standard-grade ethanol market prices fluctuated due to changes in plant operations, resulting in an overall consolidating trend.
  2. Anhydrous Ethanol: Yesterday, regional anhydrous ethanol market prices remained stable with minor fluctuations.
  3. Fuel Ethanol: Yesterday, fuel ethanol market prices were stable, with consistent purchasing prices from local refineries.
  4. Coal-based Ethanol: Yesterday, coal-based ethanol market offers remained stable.

II. Price List

Unit: Yuan/ton, USD/barrel

Chempricehub Ethanol & Fuel Ethanol Products Morning Report

Product Region 2026/9/11 2026/9/10 Change Remarks
Crude Oil WTI 102.48 96.05 +6.43
Brent 107.63 101.21 +6.42
Domestic Gasoline Guided Price (89#) 8475 8475 Shandong
Dried Cassava Chips Thailand 245-245 245-245 FOB, USD/ton
Delivered Plant Cost 2025-2025 2025-2025 East China, Yuan/ton
Corn (Delivered to Plant) Heilongjiang 2100-2155 2100-2155 Heilongjiang
Jilin 2180-2270 2180-2270 Jilin
Henan 2200-2200 2200-2220 0/-20 Jiaozuo dry grain, 14% moisture
Shandong 2280-2280 2280-2280 Weifang dry grain, 14% moisture
Standard Grade Heilongjiang (East) 4900-5100 4900-5100 Corn-based
Heilongjiang (West) 4950-5150 4950-5150 Corn-based
Jilin 5100-5170 5100-5170 Corn-based
Shandong - - Cassava-based, Ex-factory
Shandong 5420-5500 5420-5500 Wheat-based
Northern Jiangsu 5550-5550 5550-5550 Cassava-based
Southern Jiangsu 5650-5700 5650-5700 Cassava-based, Ex-factory
Anhui 5500-5550 5500-5550 Grain/Cassava-based
Guangxi 5700-5800 5700-5800 Molasses/Cassava-based
Premium Grade Heilongjiang 5000-5150 5000-5150 East/West regions, Corn-based
Jilin 5200-5450 5200-5450 Corn-based
Shandong 5470-5550 5470-5550 Wheat-based
Northern Jiangsu 5600-5600 5600-5600
Henan 5450-5500 5450-5500 Corn-based
Anhydrous Ethanol Heilongjiang (Standard) 5700-5850 5700-5850 Corn-based
Heilongjiang (Electronic Grade) 5950-6000 5950-6000 Corn-based
Jilin (Standard) 5850-5850 5850-5850 Corn-based, mostly low-end transactions
Jilin (Electronic Grade) 5900-5920 5900-5920 Corn-based, mostly low-end transactions
Henan (Standard) 6150-6150 6150-6150 Corn-based
Henan (Electronic Grade) 6250-6250 6250-6250 Corn-based, no stock available
Northern Jiangsu 6350-6400 6350-6400 Cassava-based
Anhui 6400-6400 6400-6400 Grain/Cassava-based
Guangxi 6500-6600 6500-6600 Cassava-based
Port Jinzhou Port 5350-5450 5350-5450 Standard grade, Corn-based
Fuel Ethanol Heilongjiang (East) 6100-6198 6100-6198 High end price is delivered to Heilongjiang
Heilongjiang (West) 6100-6198 6100-6198 High end price is delivered to Heilongjiang
Liaoning 6426-6426 6426-6426 Delivered price to Liaoning
Jilin 6349-6349 6349-6349 Delivered price to Jilin
Panjin Local Refinery (Delivered) - -
Shandong Local Refineries (Delivered) 5940-5940 5930-5980 +10/-40 Delivered price
Synthetic/Coal-based Ethanol Shaanxi Starting Bid 5800 5800 Online starting bid price
Anhui Starting Bid 5980 5980 Online starting bid price
Henan Standard 6100 6100 Offer price, transaction negotiable
Henan High End - - Plant shut down
Shandong 6150 6150 Offer price, transaction negotiable
Hunan 6050 6050 Offer price, transaction negotiable
Hebei 6300 6300 Offer price, transaction negotiable
Hubei 6050 6050 Offer price, transaction negotiable
Guangdong 6300 6300 Offer price, transaction negotiable
Ethyl Acetate East China (Ex-tank) 6150-6300 6000-6200 +150/+100
MTBE Shandong (Ex-tank) 7900-8000 7550-7600 +350/+400
DDGS Heilongjiang 2180-2200 2190-2220 -10/-20
Jilin 2260-2380 2260-2380
Henan 2250-2250 2250-2250
Freight Tracking Western Heilongjiang-Shandong 470-520 470-520 Standard Grade Ethanol
Henan-Shandong 100-200 100-200
Eastern Heilongjiang-Shandong 420-460 420-460 Standard Grade Ethanol
Northwest-Shandong 270-310 270-310
Mengzhou-Chengdu 360-390 360-390 Return empty trucks are relatively cheap

III. Data Table

Data Type This Week Last Week Expected Trend
Cassava Ethanol Profit -518.8 -518.8
Corn Ethanol Profit -138.75 -138.75
Coal-based Ethanol Profit 300 300
Remarks: 1. Cassava ethanol profit refers to production profit for cassava ethanol in Northern Jiangsu/East China market. 2. Corn ethanol profit refers to production profit for corn ethanol in Northeast Heilongjiang market. 3. Molasses ethanol profit refers to production profit for molasses ethanol in Southern markets.

Unit: Yuan/ton

IV. Market Outlook

Domestic ethanol prices are expected to remain stable or slightly stronger in the short term. Prices in Northeast China are stable as contractual orders are being shipped; rising freight costs have pushed up delivered prices. Prices in East China are stable to slightly stronger due to rigid demand from chemical industries. Prices in Henan are stable, with plants facing no inventory pressure. Coal-based ethanol prices are stable as orders are being fulfilled. Major trading prices for fuel ethanol are stable, with orders being shipped.

Data Release Date Current Period Data Expected Trend
Ethanol Operating Rate Thursday 15:00 PM 59.19%
Ethyl Acetate Operating Rate Thursday 15:00 PM 51.08%
Remarks: 1. ↑↓ indicates significant volatility, highlighting data dimensions with changes exceeding 3%. 2. ↗↘ indicates narrow-range fluctuations, highlighting data with changes within 0-3%.

Chempricehub Ethanol & Fuel Ethanol Products Morning Report

Product Region 2025/10/28 2025/10/27 Change Remarks
Crude Oil WTI 60.15 61.31 -1.16
Brent 64.4 65.62 -1.22
Domestic Gasoline Guided Price (89#) 7969 7969 Shandong
Dried Cassava Chips Thailand 212-215 212-215 FOB, USD/ton
Delivered Plant Cost 1828-1856 1828-1856 East China, Yuan/ton
Corn (Delivered to Plant) Heilongjiang 1955-2002 1955-2002 Heilongjiang
Jilin 2010-2090 2020-2090 -10/0 Jilin
Henan 2200-2210 2200-2210 Jiaozuo dry grain, 14% moisture
Shandong 2170-2170 2160-2160 +10/+10 Weifang dry grain, 14% moisture
Standard Grade Heilongjiang (East) 4820-4830 4820-4830 Corn-based
Heilongjiang (West) 4850-4900 4850-4900 Corn-based
Jilin 4950-5050 4950-5050 Corn-based
Shandong 5400-5400 5400-5400 Cassava-based, Ex-factory
Shandong 5150-5300 5150-5300 Wheat-based
Northern Jiangsu 5300-5300 5300-5300 Cassava-based
Southern Jiangsu 5400-5400 5400-5400 Cassava-based, Ex-factory
Anhui 5350-5350 5350-5350 Grain/Cassava-based
Guangxi 5650-5700 5650-5700 Cassava-based
Premium Grade Heilongjiang 4900-4950 4900-4950 East/West regions, Corn-based
Jilin 5100-5450 5100-5450 Corn-based
Shandong 5300-5350 5300-5350 Wheat-based
Northern Jiangsu 5380-5380 5380-5380
Henan 5230-5250 5230-5250 Corn-based
Anhydrous Ethanol Heilongjiang (Standard) 5400-5450 5400-5450 Corn-based
Heilongjiang (Electronic Grade) 5450-5500 5450-5500 Corn-based
Jilin (Standard) 5500-5850 5500-5850 Corn-based, mostly low-end transactions
Jilin (Electronic Grade) 5650-5950 5650-5950 Corn-based, mostly low-end transactions
Henan (Standard) 5900-5950 5900-5950 Corn-based
Henan (Electronic Grade) - - Corn-based, no stock available
Northern Jiangsu 5900-5900 5900-5900 Cassava-based
Anhui 5900-5950 5900-5950 Grain/Cassava-based
Guangxi 6350-6450 6350-6450 Cassava-based
Port Jinzhou Port 5100-5200 5100-5200 Standard grade, Corn-based
Fuel Ethanol Heilongjiang (East) 5200-5200 5200-5200
Heilongjiang (West) 5250-5250 5250-5250
Liaoning 5500-5500 5500-5500
Jilin 5400-5400 5400-5400
Panjin Local Refinery (Delivered) - -
Shandong Local Refineries (Delivered) 5250-5250 5260-5290 -10/-40 Delivered price
Synthetic/Coal-based Ethanol Shaanxi Starting Bid 5450 5450 Online offer price
Anhui Starting Bid 5400 - Online starting bid price
Henan Standard 5800 5800 Hydrogenation of acetate esters
Henan High End - - Offer price (plant shut down on the 13th)
Shandong 5400 5460 -60 Offer price
Hunan 5600 5600 Offer price
Hebei 5600 5600 Offer price, transaction negotiable
Guangdong - -
Guangdong High End 5950 6100 -150 High end, purity 99.9%
Ethyl Acetate East China (Ex-tank) 5140-5200 5140-5200
MTBE Shandong (Ex-tank) 4850-4950 4900-4950 -50/0
DDGS Heilongjiang 2030-2150 2030-2150
Jilin 1950-2250 1950-2250
Henan 2330-2330 2330-2330
Freight Tracking Western Heilongjiang-Shandong 280-300 280-300 Standard Grade Ethanol
Henan-Shandong 100-200 100-200
Eastern Heilongjiang-Shandong 330-370 330-370 Fuel Ethanol
Northwest-Shandong 260-270 260-270
Mengzhou-Chengdu 250-300 250-300 Return empty trucks are relatively cheap

Comments

0
  • Sarah Mitchell 2026-09-14 20:09
    With crude oil dipping on Middle East diplomacy, I’m watching how this impacts ethanol feedstock costs. Domestic segments held steady, but if INE futures keep rising, margin pressure could squeeze downstream demand. Sta..
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