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Home > News > Cost-Side Strength Drives Market Volatility and Upward Trend (Oct 8–10, 2026)

Cost-Side Strength Drives Market Volatility and Upward Trend (Oct 8–10, 2026)

Published on 2026-10-10
  1. Key Market Focus This Week
  1. Feedstock propylene and synthetic ammonia prices rose significantly.

  2. Sinopec’s new 130,000-ton/year acrylonitrile unit in Tianjin has achieved stable operation and officially launched qualified products to the market.

  1. Weekly Market Analysis
China Acrylonitrile Spot Price Trend Chart (CNY/ton)

Data Source: Chempricehub Information

China Acrylonitrile Spot Price Change Comparison Table (Unit: CNY/ton)

Product Region/Category Current Avg Previous Avg Change % Change Unit
Propylene Shandong Market 10307 9755 552 5.66% CNY/ton
Acrylonitrile East China Port 11117 11100 17 0.15% CNY/ton
Shandong Market 10783 10833 -50 -0.46% CNY/ton
ABS East China 0215A 11900 11600 300 2.59% CNY/ton
Acrylic Fiber Staple East China 1.5D/3D 15975 15975 0 0.00% CNY/ton
Acrylamide East China Crystal 12700 12700 0 0.00% CNY/ton

Data Source: Chempricehub Information

After the National Day holiday, there was no substantive improvement in the fundamentals of the acrylonitrile market. However, strong cost-side support emerged as feedstock propylene and synthetic ammonia prices rose significantly. This led to a marked increase in production losses for acrylonitrile, prompting suppliers to hold firm on prices and push them upward. Nevertheless, supply-demand contradictions persist; with overall supply remaining ample, upward momentum faces resistance, resulting in limited price gains.

  1. Analysis of Market Influencing Factors
  1. The weekly average operating rate for domestic acrylonitrile was 75.3%, an increase of 2.46 percentage points from the previous week.

  2. As of October 8, acrylonitrile enterprise inventories stood at 45,000 tons, an increase of 4,500 tons from the previous week.

  3. The weekly operating rate for the ABS industry was 55.2%, while that for the acrylic fiber industry remained around 70.38%.

  4. The weekly average profit for acrylonitrile production was -1,598 CNY/ton, a decrease of 465 CNY/ton compared to the previous week.

  1. Next Week Market Forecast

Acrylonitrile market prices are expected to continue rising next week. In the short term, propylene prices will likely remain volatile at elevated levels, sustaining cost-side pressure and driving passive price increases for acrylonitrile. Additionally, as production losses widen, localized passive production cuts cannot be ruled out, which would further support price appreciation. However, persistent weakness in end-user demand will continue to cap potential price gains.

For more detailed weekly market analysis, please refer to the Chempricehub Acrylonitrile Weekly Report.

Comments

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  • James Morrison 2026-10-11 10:03
    Propylene cost spikes squeeze acrylonitrile margins, despite new Tianjin capacity. With 75.3% utilization and rising inventories, weak downstream demand limits price gains. I expect continued volatility as producers navi..
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