The price of isobutyraldehyde fluctuates and rises. According to the commodity market analysis system of Business Society, as of February 5, the domestic quotation for isobutyraldehyde was 6,333.33 yuan per ton, showing a fluctuating increase compared to the price of 5,766.67 yuan per ton on January 1, with a rise of 9.83%. Compared to the price of 5,750 yuan per ton on January 20, it has significantly increased by 10.14%. The price of propylene fluctuates and rises. In January, the operating rate of isobutyraldehyde enterprises' equipment increased to around 85%. Starting from late January, the operating rate of isobutyraldehyde manufacturers slightly declined, with low inventory levels, tightening supply of isobutyraldehyde, leading to a significant increase in its price.
The price of raw material propylene fluctuates and rises. According to the commodity market analysis system of Business Society, as of February 5, the quotation for propylene was 6,437.67 yuan per ton, showing a decline followed by an increase compared to the price of 6,421 yuan per ton on January 27, with a rise of 0.26%. Compared to the price of 5,717.67 yuan per ton on January 1, it has significantly increased by 12.59%. There are many propylene unit maintenance activities, leading to periodic tightness in propylene supply, causing its price to fluctuate and rise. Cost support has significantly increased the cost of isobutyraldehyde.
The operating rate of isobutyraldehyde manufacturers has declined from high levels. In January, the 30,000-ton per year isobutyraldehyde unit of Yankuang Lunan Chemical operated at low capacity; the 25,000-ton per year isobutyraldehyde unit of Anqing Shuguang operated normally, with partial production conversion; the 25,000-ton per year isobutyraldehyde unit of Shandong Lihuayi underwent production conversion; the old 30,000-ton per year isobutyraldehyde unit of Jiangsu Huachang operated normally, with new units put into production; the 15,000-ton per year octanol unit of Dongming Dongfang Chemical resumed operation. Overall, the operating rate of isobutyraldehyde manufacturers was high, but in February, it slightly decreased to around 83%. The decline in isobutyraldehyde production has increased the support for its price rise.
The demand for isobutyraldehyde has increased. In February, the price of neopentyl glycol rose. On February 5, Yantai Wanhua quoted 7,650-7,800 yuan per ton, showing a fluctuating increase compared to the quotation of 7,250-7,400 yuan per ton on January 20. The rise in neopentyl glycol prices, coupled with pre-holiday stockpiling, has led to a short-term increase in isobutyraldehyde demand, causing its price to fluctuate and rise.
Market Overview and Forecast: Business Society's isobutyraldehyde industry analyst believes that in terms of cost, the significant rise in raw material propylene prices has increased the cost support for isobutyraldehyde. In terms of supply and demand, the slight decline in isobutyraldehyde operating rates has tightened its supply, increasing the upward momentum. In terms of demand, the rise in neopentyl glycol prices, along with pre-holiday stockpiling, has boosted isobutyraldehyde demand, further increasing the support for its price rise. Looking ahead, the significant increase in costs, coupled with tightening supply and rising demand for isobutyraldehyde, will further support its price increase. It is expected that the price of isobutyraldehyde will fluctuate and rise in the future.
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