Core Logic: Supported by cost factors, the domestic butadiene market is expected to see a slight upward trend within a narrow range.
| Product | Region | Oct 23 | Oct 16 | Change Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Butadiene | Shandong Central Delivery | 13775 | 13450 | 2.42% |
| Butadiene | Jiangyin Tank Ex-Works | 13500 | 13150 | 2.66% |
| Butadiene | CFR China | 1700 | 1630 | 4.29% |
| Crude Oil | ICE Brent | 116.72 | 109.86 | 6.24% |
| BR Rubber | Daqing BR9000 | 16100 | 16200 | -0.62% |
| Notes: | ||||
| 1. Units for CFR China are USD/ton; units for crude oil are USD/barrel; all other units are CNY/ton. | ||||
| 2. The two price periods refer to spot prices from the two working weeks prior to this week, not weekly averages. | ||||
| 3. Change rate refers to week-over-week percentage change. |
| Data Type | Oct 23 | Oct 16 | Change Rate | Weekly Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total Sample Inventory | 4.41 | 4.72 | -6.57% | ↗ |
| Production Profit | 3508 | 3892.419448 | -9.89% | ↗ |
| Weekly Capacity Utilization Rate | 66.46% | 67.49% | -1.03% | ↗ |
| Weekly Output | 10.76 | 10.92 | -1.50% | ↗ |
| 1. Capacity utilization rate reflects production levels, calculated as the ratio of plant output to total capacity. | ||||
| 2. Weekly output refers to the total production volume of sample enterprises during the current week. | ||||
| 3. Production profit is based on theoretical calculations for the C4 extraction process. |
The near-term geopolitical situation in the Middle East remains uncertain. With crude oil prices staying at high levels, cost-side support persists. Additionally, some domestic plants have scheduled shutdowns, and news regarding export transactions of goods from the East China region has fueled bullish sentiment in the market, reducing sellers' willingness to lower quotes. Although downstream demand recovery remains sluggish and follow-up purchases of high-priced butadiene are generally weak, low-priced supply is scarce in the market. Therefore, the domestic butadiene market is expected to maintain a slightly firm trend within a narrow range.
| Data Indicator | Release Date | Previous Value | Current Trend Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|
| Butadiene Port Inventory | Wednesday 17:00 PM | 2.29 | ↗ |
| Butadiene Production Profit | Friday 17:00 PM | 3507.65 | ↗ |
| Butadiene Inventory Analysis | Friday 17:00 PM | 4.41 | ↗ |
| Butadiene Weekly Capacity Utilization Rate | Friday 17:00 PM | 66.46% | ↗ |
| Butadiene Weekly Output | Friday 17:00 PM | 10.76 | ↗ |
| Data Source: Chempricehub Information | |||
| Notes: | |||
| 1. ↓↑ indicates significant volatility, highlighting data dimensions with changes exceeding 3%. | |||
| 2. ↗↘ indicates narrow-range fluctuations, highlighting data with changes within 0–3%. |
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