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Analysis of China's Estimated Monthly Methanol Import and Export Data (April 2026)

Published on 2026-05-09
  1. Import and Export Overview

Data source: Customs, Chempricehub

In April 2026, the final actual discharge volume of China’s methanol imports from seaborne vessels was 576,000 metric tons (counted upon berthing, excluding Russian overland shipments), an increase of 138,100 metric tons, or 31.54%, compared with the previous month’s import volume of 437,900 metric tons.

Data source: Customs, Chempricehub

China’s methanol exports in April 2026 are estimated at approximately 201,800 metric tons, a sharp increase of 136,100 metric tons, or 207.15%, from the previous month’s export volume of 65,700 metric tons.

  1. Influencing Factors

Imports: Periodic concentrated arrivals of non-Iranian contract cargoes in certain regions, combined with the delivery pace of some Middle East cargoes, led to a rebound in import discharge volumes in April.

Exports: Geopolitical conflicts and strait blockades severely disrupted supply in the Asian region. Overseas prices rose even more sharply on supply concerns, continuing to support a substantial increase in China’s exports and re-exports.

  1. Import/Export Structure

Estimated monthly seaborne imports of methanol into China by trading partner (April)

Trading Partner Quantity (Metric Tons) Share of Imports
Middle East 264,800 45.97%
Chile 162,176 28.16%
Oman 38,000 6.60%
Malaysia 31,000 5.38%
Russia 28,000 4.86%
Venezuela 28,000 4.86%
Trinidad 12,000 2.08%
New Zealand 12,000 2.08%
Total 575,976 100.00%

Data source: Chempricehub

  1. Trend Forecast

Methanol import cargo discharge in April is estimated at 576,000 metric tons, with 264,800 metric tons discharged from the main Middle East region and 311,200 metric tons from non-Iranian cargoes during the month. In April, approximately 245,000 metric tons were loaded from the main Middle East region, but only 120,000 metric tons of cargo actually departed the strait (all before April 5). Total imports in May are expected to continue declining to around 327,200 metric tons (a few cargoes departing in early May are temporarily included in the June discharge expectation), of which main Middle East supply is estimated at 101,000 metric tons and non-Iranian supply at around 226,200 metric tons. (Affected by multiple port-related factors, cargo arrival times may change; therefore, actual port arrival volumes are subject to final terminal discharge.)

Comments

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  • Yuki Tanaka 2026-09-08 10:42
    The surge in China's methanol exports on geopolitics is striking, and downstream demand will likely stay cautious with May imports forecast to drop sharply. These swings keep feedstock cost exposure volatile, so monitori..
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