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Ammonium sulfate falls on weak demand despite steady urea prices

Published on 2026-11-04
  1. Daily Summary

① International urea prices remained stable, while end-user acceptance of ammonium sulfate was limited.
② Caprolactam operating rate stood at 70.79%. Independent coke plant operating rate was 71.12%.

  1. Spot Market Overview

Table 1: Domestic Ammonium Sulfate Price Summary (Unit: RMB/ton)

Market Specification Nov 3 Nov 4 Change Change %
Shandong Coking-grade 1145-1190 1107-1145 -38/-45 -3.32%/-3.78%
Shanxi Coking-grade 1065-1142 975-1060 -90/-82 -8.45%/-7.18%
Handan Coking-grade 1135-1175 1100-1140 -35/-35 -3.08%/-2.98%
Henan Coking-grade 1050-1145 1060-1140 +10/-5 +0.95%/-0.44%
Northwest Coking-grade 940-1010 876-980 -64/-30 -6.81%/-2.97%
Northeast Coking-grade 900-1163 900-1163 0/0 0.00%/0.00%
Shandong Caprolactam-grade 1230-1250 1230-1250 0/0 0.00%/0.00%
Shanxi Caprolactam-grade 1200-1200 1200-1200 0/0 0.00%/0.00%
Key Downstream
Shandong Compound Fertilizer 45%S(3*15) 3280 3280 0 0.00%

Based on coking-grade ammonium sulfate in the Shandong region, the transaction price was executed at 1,126 RMB/ton, a decrease of 41.5 RMB/ton. This week, coking-grade ammonium sulfate prices generally declined due to weak demand.

  1. Production Dynamics

Currently, caprolactam plant loads are undergoing minor adjustments, with an operating rate of 70.03%. The operating rate for independent coke plants is 71.36%. The capacity utilization rate for domestic compound fertilizer enterprises is 25.97%.

  1. Price Forecast

The ammonium sulfate market trended downward today. Weak international conditions led to poor actual transactions. Following previous sustained increases in raw material prices, profit margins across the upstream and downstream sectors have compressed, causing procurement sentiment to cool recently. It is expected that the ammonium sulfate market will continue to decline in the short term.

  1. Related Products

Urea: Today, the domestic urea market was influenced by on-site news. Futures opened higher, boosting trading sentiment and leading spot quotations to rise slightly. However, demand-side support remains limited as agricultural needs are nearing the end of the season. Industrial rigid demand from sectors such as compound fertilizers and wood panels is largely maintaining restocking based on immediate needs. Actual market transactions remain moderate, with downstream buyers cautious and predominantly in wait-and-see mode. Industry operating rates remain high, ensuring sufficient supply. Positive factors are mostly at the expectation level, lacking substantial large-order deals for support, which limits manufacturers' ability to hold prices firm; thus, transactions at higher price levels are sluggish. In the short term, urea prices may continue to fluctuate within a range. Market trends still require close tracking of export tender results and the pace of winter stockpiling preparations.

Table 2: Domestic Ammonium Sulfate Data Overview (Unit: 10,000 tons)

Data Indicator Release Time Previous Period Data Current Period Trend Forecast
Coke Plant Capacity Utilization Rate Friday 17:00 AM 71.12% --
Caprolactam Capacity Utilization Rate Thursday 17:00 PM 70.79% --
Compound Fertilizer Capacity Utilization Rate Thursday 17:00 PM 25.90% --

Source: Chempricehub Information
Notes:

  1. ↓↑ indicates significant fluctuations, highlighting data dimensions with changes exceeding 3%.
  2. ↗↘ indicates narrow-range fluctuations, highlighting data dimensions with changes within 0-3%.

Comments

0
  • Hannah Berg 2026-11-04 20:02
    Weak downstream demand is squeezing ammonium sulfate margins, with Shanxi prices dropping over 8%. While caprolactam operating rates hold steady near 71%, the persistent oversupply suggests continued downward pressure. I..
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