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Home > News > Morning Market Briefing for Ethylene Oxide

Morning Market Briefing for Ethylene Oxide

Published on 2026-09-23

I. Key Points

  1. 9/22: US and Iranian delegations are scheduled to meet, with markets anticipating a de-escalation of geopolitical tensions, leading to a decline in international crude oil prices. NYMEX WTI crude oil futures (October contract) closed at $94.59/barrel, down $1.19/barrel (-1.24% WoW); ICE Brent crude oil futures (November contract) closed at $99.25/barrel, down $1.09/barrel (-1.09% WoW). China INE ethylene oxide futures (November 2026 contract) fell by 13.7 to 717.1 RMB/barrel; the night session dropped further by 22.3 to 694.8 RMB/barrel.
  2. 9/22: Port-side ethylene CFR Northeast Asia prices remained steady at $1,180/ton compared to the previous working day.
  3. 9/22: The daily capacity utilization rate for China's ethylene oxide industry stood at 49.26%.

II. Price Table

Market Specification Sep 21 Sep 22 Change % Change
East China / 9,700 9,700 0 0.00%
Central China / 10,100 10,100 0 0.00%
North China / 9,500 9,500 0 0.00%
South China / 9,700 9,700 0 0.00%
Northeast China / 9,500 9,500 0 0.00%
Key Downstream Products
East China Polycarboxylate superplasticizer monomer EPEG 11,900 11,900 0 0.00%
Data Source: Chempricehub
Notes: 1. Prices represent spot values from the two preceding working days, not weekly averages. 2. All RMB prices listed above are ex-factory, cash-in-hand, tax-inclusive prices. 3. Percentage changes reflect week-over-week fluctuations. 4. Unit: RMB/ton.

III. Market Outlook

The ethylene oxide market is expected to maintain its high-level stability today. On the supply side, while monoethylene glycol (MEG) prices have softened slightly, they remain at elevated levels. Co-production units are currently prioritizing MEG production in the short term. Coupled with persistently high raw material costs and tight supply, there are no expectations for increased EO supply. Downstream major industries show stable operating rates, with demand consumption progressing steadily. Regarding costs, domestic producers' ethylene transactions are primarily driven by rigid demand. Derivative product prices have generally declined, resulting in weak market profitability and limited external procurement demand. Ethylene prices are expected to remain range-bound, but cost support persists. Overall, both supply constraints and cost factors continue to support prices in the short term, keeping ethylene oxide prices firm. Continued monitoring of upstream and downstream dynamics is advised.

Indicator Release Time Previous Period Current Trend Forecast
Weekly Output Thursday 16:00 PM 115,400 tons
Capacity Utilization Rate Thursday 16:00 PM 51.82%
Profit Margin (Imported Ethylene Route, External Procurement) Thursday 16:00 PM 1,193.08 RMB/ton
1. ↓↑ indicates significant volatility, highlighting data dimensions with fluctuations exceeding 3%. 2. ↗↘ indicates narrow-range volatility, highlighting data dimensions with fluctuations within 0-3%.

Data Source: Chempricehub

Comments

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  • Hannah Berg 2026-09-23 20:05
    EO futures dipped on softer crude, but spot prices held firm. With capacity utilization at just 49%, tight supply and cost support keep margins resilient. I expect high-level stability despite weak downstream demand, as ..
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