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What drove DMC prices to a 10-year high in 2021, and what does it signal for 2025?

Hannah Berg
Published on 2026-08-08

What drove DMC prices to a 10-year high in 2021, and what does it signal for 2025?
DMC prices surged to a decade high of 37,700 yuan/ton in September 2021, more than doubling year-on-year, driven by tight supply from environmental restrictions on new capacity and reduced upstream industrial silicon output due to power curbs in Yunnan. Demand was buoyed by a global economic recovery, strong overseas orders, and expanding downstream applications. By late 2021, prices corrected to around 26,000 yuan/ton, then rebounded to 33,000 yuan/ton by March 2022. This volatility highlights DMC's sensitivity to feedstock constraints and macroeconomic cycles. With China's DMC capacity at roughly 1.69 million tons across 13 producers in 2020, and top players like Jiangxi Xinghuo and Xin'an Chemical running above 90% utilization, supply remains concentrated, giving producers strong pricing power in tight periods.

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  • Elena Vasquez 2026-08-09 17:45
    The 2021 spike was a classic supply-demand squeeze, but note the structural shift: China's silicone intermediate capacity grew nearly 20% annually from 2021 to 2024, reaching about 3.45 million tons. This expansion, plus rising exports (546,000 tons in 2024), suggests future price spikes may be shorter-lived unless industrial silicon costs or environmental policy tighten again.
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