I. Key Focus Points
Core Logic: The recent market is characterized by a tug-of-war between strong cost support, low inventory levels, and insufficient downstream absorption capacity.
II. Price Table
| Product | Region | Sep 14 | Sep 15 | Change Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crude Oil | Brent | 105.68 | 108.75 | 2.90% |
| Ethylene | CFR Northeast Asia | 1150 | 1150 | 0.00% |
| Pure Benzene | East China Market | 9805 | 9735 | -0.71% |
| Styrene | Jiangsu Market | 10485 | 10485 | 0.00% |
| Notes: | ||||
| 1. Units: Brent crude in USD/barrel; CFR Northeast Asia ethylene in USD/ton; pure benzene and styrene in CNY/ton. | ||||
| 2. Prices for pure benzene and styrene are based on the average closing price of mainstream markets. | ||||
| 3. All RMB prices listed above are spot exchange rates including tax. | ||||
| 4. Change rate refers to the period-over-period change. |
III. Market Outlook
Styrene: The market remains in a state of equilibrium between strong cost support, low inventories, and weak downstream demand. Geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to drive international oil prices higher. Domestic producers have made partial adjustments, meaning the marginal increase in industry supply may fall short of expectations. While downstream negative feedback has led to increased production cuts, the tight spot market situation is unlikely to fundamentally reverse before absolute inventory levels effectively accumulate. In the short term, the styrene market is expected to trend sideways with an upward bias.
IV. Data Table
| Data Type | Previous Period | Current Period | Change Rate | Forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jiangsu Port Inventory | 3.73 | 3.43 | -8.04% | ↘ |
| South China Port Inventory | 1.55 | 2.87 | +85.16% | ↘ |
| Operating Rate | 63.27% | 64.55% | +1.28 pp | ↗ |
| Sample Enterprise Inventory | 14.43 | 13.53 | -6.19% | ↘ |
| Notes: | ||||
| 1. All data in the table represents weekly styrene statistics; ↘ indicates downward trend, ↗ indicates upward trend. | ||||
| 2. Styrene Jiangsu port inventory is released before 15:00 on Monday of each week. | ||||
| 3. Styrene East China port inventory is released before 17:00 on Monday of each week. | ||||
| 4. Styrene operating rate is released before 18:00 on Thursday of each week. | ||||
| 5. Styrene sample enterprise inventory is released before 17:00 on Thursday of each week. |
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