I. Key Points
Core Logic: The recent market is caught in a tug-of-war between strong costs, low inventories, and insufficient downstream demand absorption.
II. Price Table
| Product | Region | Sep 11 | Sep 14 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crude Oil | Brent | 104.61 | 105.68 | +1.07 |
| Ethylene | CFR NE Asia | 1150 | 1150 | 0 |
| Pure Benzene | East China Market | 9580 | 9805 | +225 |
| Styrene | Jiangsu Market | 10510 | 10485 | -25 |
| Remarks: | ||||
| 1. Brent crude: USD/bbl; CFR NE Asia ethylene: USD/ton; Pure benzene & styrene: CNY/ton. | ||||
| 2. Prices for pure benzene and styrene represent the closing average of mainstream markets. | ||||
| 3. All RMB prices in the table above are spot exchange rates including tax. | ||||
| 4. Percentage changes reflect week-over-week variations. |
III. Market Outlook
Styrene: The recent market is balancing strong costs, low inventories, and weak downstream demand. The disruption of Saudi crude pipelines and ongoing Houthi pressure have heightened supply risks, pushing up international oil prices. With Li Huayi restarting operations, Anqing Petrochemical undergoing maintenance, and Lianyungang plants planning shutdowns, marginal increases in industry supply may fall short of expectations. Although downstream negative feedback has led to increased production cuts, the tight spot market situation is unlikely to fundamentally reverse until absolute inventory levels accumulate effectively. In the short term, the styrene market may remain volatile but biased towards strength. However, downstream negative feedback could suppress bullish sentiment. Near-month supply remains tight, potentially widening the inter-month spread.
IV. Data Table
| Data Type | Previous Period | Current Period | Change Rate | Expectation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jiangsu Port Inventory | 3.73 | 3.43 | -8.04% | ↘ |
| South China Port Inventory | 1.55 | 2.87 | +85.16% | ↘ |
| Operating Rate | 63.27% | 64.55% | +1.28 | ↗ |
| Sample Enterprise Inventory | 14.43 | 13.53 | -6.19% | ↘ |
| Remarks: | ||||
| 1. All data in the table represents weekly styrene statistics; ↘ indicates downward trend, ↗ indicates upward trend. | ||||
| 2. Styrene Jiangsu port inventory is released before 15:00 on Monday of the current week. | ||||
| 3. Styrene East China port inventory is released before 17:00 on Monday of the current week. | ||||
| 4. Styrene operating rate is released before 18:00 on Thursday of the current week. | ||||
| 5. Styrene sample enterprise inventory is released before 17:00 on Thursday of the current week. |
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