I. Key Focus Points
Core Logic: Recent markets have been strongly guided by crude oil trends. Iran's statement regarding no rush for negotiations drove an overnight rebound in crude oil prices. Maintenance at the Lianyungang unit, along with unplanned shutdowns or load reductions at Xinyang, Junchen, and other plants, has strengthened expectations of reduced industry supply.
II. Price Table
| Product | Region | Sep 22 | Sep 23 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crude Oil | Brent | 99.25 | 103.08 | +3.83 |
| Ethylene | CFR Northeast Asia | 1180 | 1180 | 0 |
| Pure Benzene | East China Market | 9850 | 9940 | +90 |
| Styrene | Jiangsu Market | 10150 | 10050 | -100 |
| Remarks: | ||||
| 1. Units: Brent crude in USD/barrel; CFR Northeast Asia ethylene in USD/ton; Pure benzene and styrene in RMB/ton. | ||||
| 2. Prices for pure benzene and styrene represent the average closing price of mainstream markets. | ||||
| 3. All RMB prices in the table above are spot exchange rates including tax. | ||||
| 4. Change rate refers to the week-on-week percentage change. |
III. Market Outlook
Styrene: Recent market movements have been strongly influenced by crude oil. Iran's stance on delaying negotiations triggered an overnight rebound in crude prices. Supply reduction expectations have intensified due to maintenance at the Lianyungang unit and unplanned shutdowns or load reductions at Xinyang, Junchen, and others. However, negative feedback from downstream sectors has limited price support, while rising port inventories may cap the extent of styrene's upward movement. Supported by cost rebounds and recent supply reduction news, the short-term styrene market is expected to maintain a slightly bullish atmosphere.
IV. Data Table
| Data Type | Previous Period | Current Period | Change Rate | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jiangsu Port Inventory | 3.43 | 4.16 | +21.28% | ↗ |
| South China Port Inventory | 2.87 | 2.05 | -28.57% | ↘ |
| Operating Rate | 64.55% | 66.26% | +1.71% | ↗ |
| Sample Enterprise Inventory | 13.53 | 12.98 | -4.09% | ↘ |
| Remarks: | ||||
| 1. Data in the table represents weekly styrene statistics. | ||||
| 2. Styrene Jiangsu port inventory data is released before 15:00 on Monday of the current week. | ||||
| 3. Styrene East China port inventory data is released before 17:00 on Monday of the current week. | ||||
| 4. Styrene operating rate data is released before 18:00 on Thursday of the current week. | ||||
| 5. Styrene sample enterprise inventory data is released before 17:00 on Thursday of the current week. |
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