I. Key Focus Points
On September 22, US and Iranian representatives are scheduled to meet. The market anticipates a easing of geopolitical tensions, leading to a decline in international crude oil prices. NYMEX WTI crude oil futures (October contract) closed at $94.59/bbl, down $1.19/bbl (-1.24% WoW); ICE Brent crude oil futures (November contract) closed at $99.25/bbl, down $1.09/bbl (-1.09% WoW). Shanghai INE crude oil futures (November 2026 contract) fell by 13.7 to 717.1 yuan/barrel; the night session dropped by 22.3 to 694.8 yuan/barrel.
On the 22nd, trading sentiment in the Asian styrene USD market remained cautious. Following the monthly rollover, RMB-denominated prices declined, driving intraday USD prices lower. FOB Korea settled at $1,330–$1,340/ton, with an average price decrease of $15; CFR China settled at $1,290–$1,300/ton, with an average price decrease of $15. Unit: USD/ton.
On the 22nd, theoretically compared to the previous trading day: theoretical production-sales profit for integrated plants increased by 130 yuan/ton to 1,863 yuan/ton; theoretical production-sales loss for non-integrated plants widened by 206 yuan/ton to -1,077 yuan/ton.
Core Logic: Although spot supply is tight in some markets recently, falling crude oil prices have strengthened bearish sentiment driven by cost-side factors.
II. Price Table
| Product | Region | Sep 21 | Sep 22 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crude Oil | Brent | 100.34 | 99.25 | -1.09 |
| Ethylene | CFR NE Asia | 1180 | 1180 | 0 |
| Pure Benzene | East China Market | 9605 | 9850 | +245 |
| Styrene | Jiangsu Market | 10080 | 10150 | +70 |
| Notes: | ||||
| 1. Brent crude oil: USD/barrel; CFR NE Asia ethylene: USD/ton; Pure benzene & Styrene: CNY/ton. | ||||
| 2. Prices for pure benzene and styrene reflect the closing average of mainstream markets. | ||||
| 3. All RMB prices listed above are spot rates inclusive of VAT. | ||||
| 4. Percentage changes represent week-over-week variations. |
III. Market Outlook
Styrene: Although tight spot resources in certain domestic regions provide some support to styrene prices, declining crude oil costs have intensified bearish sentiment on the cost side. Pre-holiday buying interest from downstream sectors remains limited and insufficient to sustain upward momentum. Overall, the styrene market is expected to trade sideways with a slightly weak bias in the short term.
IV. Data Table
| Data Type | Previous Period | Current Period | Change Rate | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jiangsu Port Inventory | 3.43 | 4.16 | +21.28% | ↗ |
| South China Port Inventory | 2.87 | 2.05 | -28.57% | ↘ |
| Operating Rate | 64.55% | 66.26% | +1.71% | ↗ |
| Sample Enterprise Inventory | 13.53 | 12.98 | -4.09% | ↘ |
| Notes: | ||||
| 1. Data in the table refers to weekly styrene statistics; ↘ indicates decrease, ↗ indicates increase. |
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