How does China's propylene glycol supply structure differ from global producers, and what are the implications?
Chinese PG prices have entered a steep upward trajectory in 2026, with the benchmark price jumping from around 5,900 yuan/ton in early April to nearly 12,000 yuan/ton by mid-April—roughly a doubling in weeks. Four factors are converging: rising feedstock propylene oxide (PO) costs, with PO up 8.7% in a month to 10,000 yuan/ton; constrained domestic operating rates; strong export demand pulling volumes out of the domestic market; and traders restocking while producers hold back sales. Downstream buyers, fearing further increases, are chasing purchases, creating a self-reinforcing rally. The market has shifted from linear gains to an accelerating price spike, with daily quotes moving up 150-250 yuan/ton across Shandong, East China, and South China.
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