According to ChemPriceHub's data statistics and analysis, from 2023 to 2025, no new fuel ethanol facilities will be added domestically, with production capacity remaining at 5.365 million tons per year (as shown in the table below, listing 59 producers). Among these, two plants are in a long-term shutdown state: the 250,000-ton/year facility of Jilin Boda Biochemical Co., Ltd. and the 250,000-ton/year facility of Liaoyuan Jufeng Biochemical Technology Co., Ltd. The remaining active production capacity totals 4.865 million tons per year.

In terms of output, fuel ethanol production increased from 2023 to 2024. In the first half of 2024, the profit margin for fuel ethanol was higher than that of edible ethanol, maintaining a high operating rate for fuel ethanol and boosting production. By 2025, fuel ethanol output stabilized, with an estimated annual total production of 3.26 million tons. The main influencing factors include: with the promotion of new energy vehicles, demand support for fuel ethanol has weakened. Meanwhile, due to the low-price impact of coal-based ethanol, some refineries have opted for cheaper coal-based ethanol, further compressing demand for biologically fermented fuel ethanol. This has led to extended maintenance periods at major plants, resulting in reduced supply.

Regional Analysis of China's Fuel Ethanol Production Capacity (2025)

Regional Distribution of Fuel Ethanol Production Capacity in 2025

(Data table placeholder)

Data source: ChemPriceHub

According to ChemPriceHub data statistics, the regional share of fuel ethanol production capacity in 2025 remains dominated by Northeast China, accounting for 67.66%, followed by East China, with a share of 18.45%.

Analysis of China's Fuel Ethanol Market Demand (2023-2025)

Trends in China's Fuel Ethanol Market Demand from 2023 to 2025

(Chart placeholder)

Data source: ChemPriceHub

According to ChemPriceHub data statistics, fuel ethanol demand from 2023 to 2025 experienced an initial increase followed by a decline. In the post-pandemic era of 2024, increased travel led to a temporary rise in downstream terminal demand, improving fuel ethanol consumption. By 2025, with the rapid development of new energy vehicles, gasoline consumption decreased significantly, and total fuel ethanol consumption was approximately 3.91 million tons, a decline of 230,000 tons compared to 2024.